La Liga · resolved market
Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x197105cdcae6b6ff090bcf19ff5780a95d541a59120a2007428475ab93c2c824
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SD Eibarof SD Eibar, UD Las Palmas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40d5…79a5backed UD Las Palmas | 41c | 1,829$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SD Eibar | 61c | 1,725$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.47 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SD Eibar | 66c | 1,023$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.7 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed UD Las Palmas | 34c | 799.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.43 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed UD Las Palmas | 34c | 442.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked UD Las Palmas | 25c | 163.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked SD Eibar | 65c | 152$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed SD Eibar | 74c | 131.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…d0f4backed SD Eibar | 20c | 129.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x625e…3b86backed UD Las Palmas | 80c | 129.72$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…fdf1backed SD Eibar | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed SD Eibar | 68c | 75.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed UD Las Palmas | 41c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked UD Las Palmas | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked SD Eibar | 76c | 15.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)this page
- SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5Over won
- SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5Over won
- SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5Over won
- SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)SD Eibar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.