La Liga · resolved market
SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87d6ded20314cff53f09928cd2817cdf430ed08f75e33e60c4f3fbf0ae6b4a18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 37c | 736.81$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.62 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 726.6$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.38 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 36c | 548.68$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.15 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 64c | 517.78$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.78 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 510.88$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.41 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 64c | 465.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.46 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 65c | 406.07$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 35c | 392.6$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.41 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 63c | 261.44$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.73 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Under | 38c | 247.37$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 228$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 65c | 128$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 65c | 117.66$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 35c | 113.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…4a6dbacked Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 61c | 81.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 61c | 53.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 65c | 44.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 59c | 42.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 39c | 41.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 36c | 41.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 40c | 41.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 40c | 41.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 40c | 41.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 40c | 41.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed Under | 35c | 36.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 62c | 30.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 59c | 20.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 63c | 19.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e26…93f7backed Over | 58c | 18.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 64c | 16.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed Over | 65c | 16.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…5d9abacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5this page
- SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5Over won
- SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5Over won
- SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)SD Eibar won
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)SD Eibar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.