La Liga · resolved market
SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdddc1e085fb8d6999e836b8f78111511431df0aedee4373375c59e184d302ed6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03bd…c016backed Over | 19c | 1,461$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 20cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 15c | 1,249$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 27c | 1,032$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.37 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 873.77$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.56 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 80c | 334.82$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.33 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 80c | 318.36$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.51 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.69 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 270.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 51c | 264.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.84 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…743dbacked Over | 19c | 252.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.63 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 52c | 230.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.87 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Over | 18c | 223.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +481.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 24c | 211.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.03 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 24c | 197.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.63 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 51c | 196.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 72c | 179.64$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc2…df9ebacked Over | 19c | 145.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +225.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 19c | 141.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18d…43dbbacked Over | 19c | 125$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…a56fbacked Over | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…62bebacked Under | 43c | 88.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 17c | 87.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Over | 17c | 81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 23c | 72.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…f636backed Under | 49c | 66.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 62.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 60.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 47c | 43.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…697ebacked Under | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…168fbacked Over | 59c | 39.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb1…f87dbacked Over | 56c | 36.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…fbedbacked Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 49c | 21.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5this page
- SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5Over won
- SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5Over won
- SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)SD Eibar won
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)SD Eibar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.