La Liga · resolved market
SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52186e1896d75fc926177a9e97b436c5ffaa88f396bf53c619aa568cf82b3a6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 3,424$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.06 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 38c | 2,605$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.7 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 62c | 1,234$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.07 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Under | 65c | 1,224$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.51 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 62c | 1,080$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.53 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Over | 38c | 868.42$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.42 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 787.56$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.47 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 63c | 771.49$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.66 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 33c | 750.77$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.02 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 35c | 749.66$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.08 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 38c | 658.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.13 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 62c | 602.08$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.29 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 62c | 495.99$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.51 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 62c | 379.33$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.24 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 38c | 352.79$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.73 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 339.75$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.19 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 66c | 299.78$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.1 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 66c | 299.38$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.1 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 66c | 297.84$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.82 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 66c | 296.15$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.71 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 66c | 295.75$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.71 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 66c | 295.75$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.71 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 38c | 263.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.19 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…f636backed Under | 22c | 259.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…8a64backed Under | 64c | 195.6$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 64c | 183.01$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.94 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 64c | 183.01$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.94 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Over | 38c | 160.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 59c | 134.68$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 35c | 129$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 18c | 126.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 62c | 109.34$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 64c | 103.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…4a6dbacked Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…62bebacked Under | 18c | 92.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 31c | 73.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 63c | 67.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Over | 37c | 56.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 37c | 53.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 38c | 52.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 58c | 51.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 64c | 48.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 70c | 42.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 32c | 41.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 37c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 63c | 39.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…1b94backed Under | 64c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 77c | 29.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…7ed0backed Under | 64c | 21.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 64c | 21.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…747cbacked Under | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 63c | 19.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 62c | 17.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…db61backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5this page
- SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5Over won
- SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5Over won
- SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)SD Eibar won
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)SD Eibar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.