TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3482…fa0e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
282
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Dota2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 59 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT12160.3%73 W · 48 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 121 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Younglings vs IMHOWeRGOAT (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffsbacked IMHOWeRGOAT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffsbacked aimclub · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$377.99
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)backed FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs ECHO (+1.5)backed ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5)backed Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs DENDELE CS (+1.5)backed DENDELE CS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.93
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ECHO - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.1
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.93
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.93
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.66
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.06
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.64
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Bbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.93
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.52
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs K27 - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.14
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.9
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Sharks (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.22
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.7
Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Fluxo (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked Patins da Ferrari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Abacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$13.9
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.95
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.05
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.13
Showing 25 of 121 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5468.5%37 W · 17 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.75
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.99
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.94
LGD Gaming to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.26
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.37
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.67
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked summer bear · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.53
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime (BO5) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$22.71
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.71
Game Handicap: TR (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)backed Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.23
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Estar Backs (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.55
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Lindorfitos (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.47
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Last Chance 2 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Last Chance 2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.92
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$35.42
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$91.68
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$29.32
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$734Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$496.24
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$48.2
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$51.02
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.6
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+203%+$167.5
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.29
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$54.16
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.43
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Cruz Hewittbacked Cruz Hewitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsenbacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
Trieste: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.61
Braunschweig: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Max Schoenhausbacked Max Schoenhaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+203%+$22.04
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuelabacked Noma Noha Akugue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguezbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.8
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworthbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$96
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamensbacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Landon Ardila vs. Tyler Zink: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.99
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Katarina Zavatskabacked Darja Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.99
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$33.59
Jiujiang: Zhuoxuan Bai vs En-Shuo Liangbacked Zhuoxuan Bai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Katie Volynets vs Donna Vekicbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Paula Badosa vs. Lilli Tagger: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$158
Set 1 Winner: Norrie vs Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+119.1%+$86
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Katie Boulter vs Gabriela Rusebacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.8
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$148.3
Bucharest Open: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+129.8%+$112.37
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmicbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+386.2%+$458.17
Corentin Moutet vs. Marco Trungelliti: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.93
Grand Prix Hassan II: Corentin Moutet vs Marco Trungellitibacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.2
Copa Colsanitas: Camila Osorio vs Jazmin Ortenzibacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.64
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+48%+$127.2
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+42%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+215%+$136.5
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$356
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.75
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.16
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$109
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.49
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.49
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$27.6
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$251
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.75
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$57
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$161.87
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.94
Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.27
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.5
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$45
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$146
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.98
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.5
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$45.78
UD Almería vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$28
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$126
CD Leganés vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+183%+$193.96
Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
UD Las Palmas vs. Granada CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick47cpaid+73.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick38cpaid+120.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.9
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Auckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$34.74
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Çilekler vs Barça eSports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Goup Dbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$60.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$8.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$758Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$758.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.