TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,234 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x890e…db10backed Over50c11,197$5,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,597.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c8,880$5,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,045.241,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Over34c5,892$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003112.9%4 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under72c5,039$3,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.1899435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over1c4,233$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.882948.3%14 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over21c3,492$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.645042%189 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under60c2,549$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.0642647.9%204 W · 222 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over18c2,056$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3404513.3%6 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c1,093$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.311,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34034642.2%146 W · 200 L-15.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over44c940.88$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Over34c897.13$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3525750.9%29 W · 28 L+7.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9ae8…cb64backed Over41c781.79$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under69c680.12$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.1110743.9%47 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under67c559$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4726445.8%121 W · 143 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x928d…5069backed Under59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef54…1444backed Over34c490.37$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.61127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over44c442$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.117163.4%45 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…39bbbacked Over69c421.63$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under66c404.04$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.374129.3%12 W · 29 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed Under68c399.87$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.961643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under59c392.55$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2916144.7%72 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under66c353.53$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.24027.5%11 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under54c352.77$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.9324245.9%111 W · 131 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4263…81f8backed Under62c322.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under72c281.73$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6417058.8%100 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under63c274.59$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8535860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under72c272.7$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8330856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under58c266.82$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1212551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under66c256$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0428651%146 W · 140 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under66c248.1$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3541553%220 W · 195 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over46c219.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.973253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x704b…08b7backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over8c194.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8650%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over14c189.96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2488137.7%332 W · 549 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3482…fa0ebacked Over33c150$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick47cpaid+73.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under50c133.04$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9641238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under63c132.17$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.336734.3%23 W · 44 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37e6…794ebacked Over33c129.42$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.71238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under66c127.71$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.425757.9%33 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over45c127.37$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4427450.7%139 W · 135 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under66c125.31$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6161447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd7…7a69backed Over55c125.29$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.891010%1 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-82%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7e1…b1aebacked Over12c122.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.21428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-55.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over30c119.84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0516350.9%83 W · 80 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Under70c117.22$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.64052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under53c117.09$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7743333.5%145 W · 288 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Over34c110$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.41457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa544…0c80backed Over45c104.94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.22825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked Under67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd629…1e72backed Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under67c99.98$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.991855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over37c99.45$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5870435.8%252 W · 452 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over34c99.15$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.715831%18 W · 40 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked Under51c98.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.03850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under61c91.12$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6114353.8%77 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over46c89.32$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.096168.9%42 W · 19 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Over22c85.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under67c81.74$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.133852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under66c80.07$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1652046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under69c74.03$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.096357.1%36 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Under60c73.33$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under63c71.32$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6115354.2%83 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over21c71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.25538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under77c64.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8410752.3%56 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0368…9874backed Over32c61.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.031216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-70.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over33c60.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2514645.9%67 W · 79 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over32c58.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0425729.6%76 W · 181 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under67c53.81$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5622245%100 W · 122 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Under76c52.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.561560%9 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over33c49.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.54740.4%19 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under66c49.02$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6714249.3%70 W · 72 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over45c46.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121043.8%92 W · 118 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35a2…787dbacked Over33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x245d…6a05backed Over33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8bb…d88fbacked Under67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.78683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick65cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under66c42.31$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3412668.3%86 W · 40 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8bc…1523backed Over49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Under80c35.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.152766.7%18 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+41.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over45c35.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.973043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under66c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.954582.2%37 W · 8 L+10.2wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+39.7%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x18cd…b710backed Over33c31.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.251172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+48.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Under51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.413369.7%23 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Under51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.413271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3172…7520backed Under68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d2d…2be7backed Under53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+151.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Under75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.677149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf418…ab79backed Under68c25.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.133100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over64c24.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168645.3%39 W · 47 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under67c22.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.289752.6%51 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf5d…df19backed Under59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc69a…e9f7backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under66c19.52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.641741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62e8…a242backed Under67c17.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.74666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.