Champions League · resolved market
AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7be1028f6a4d96ebaddf28d4595c2dbc5ccebe0c0de6704af3d98d45bb5f9ec1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 2,194$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.05 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 40c | 1,174$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.57 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 60c | 872.84$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.58 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 60c | 628.17$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.27 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…5069backed Yes | 58c | 501.72$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…e620backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Yes | 61c | 492.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 40c | 458.01$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.61 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 59c | 409.78$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.49 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…71e4backed Yes | 45c | 381.36$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…39bbbacked Yes | 54c | 351.85$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 41c | 297$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.92 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 193.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.79 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…bf47backed Yes | 59c | 169.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Yes | 60c | 168.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed No | 57c | 168$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 40c | 140.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed Yes | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 39c | 124.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 52c | 122.21$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b2…11babacked Yes | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 59c | 109.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 55c | 99.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 59c | 96.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0368…9874backed No | 41c | 94.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 48c | 93.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 74c | 91.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 17c | 84.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…af95backed Yes | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 40c | 71.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked No | 41c | 69.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 55c | 66.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 45c | 65.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…529ebacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…6e1ebacked Yes | 57c | 44.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 46c | 41.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…f2c9backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 49c | 40.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 40.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 45c | 38.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 42c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…582abacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…c701backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 41c | 32.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5e…3d7dbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…3bc8backed No | 41c | 30.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…e893backed No | 42c | 27.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 44c | 27.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…81b5backed Yes | 59c | 21.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Yes | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: AC Sparta Praha O/U 0.5Over won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: AC Sparta Praha O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: AC Sparta Praha O/U 2.5Under won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 0.5Over won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5Over won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5Under won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5Under won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 5.5Under won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 1.5Under won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: AC Sparta Praha (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: AC Sparta Praha (-2.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)AC Sparta Praha won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)AC Sparta Praha won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.