TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,493
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,493 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under55c6,435$3,539 inWon+$2,895.754129.3%12 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-32.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c2,447$1,085 inLost-$1,084.822,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over45c1,794$807 inLost-$807.1296837.4%362 W · 606 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over45c1,478$664 inLost-$663.721,07134.8%373 W · 698 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under50c394.91$196 inWon+$199.1461148.3%295 W · 316 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf17d…6f86backed Over51c271$138 inLost-$138.211346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over45c190.35$86 inLost-$85.6610743.9%47 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under51c134.73$69 inWon+$66.024353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over45c128$58 inLost-$57.630949.8%154 W · 155 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over45c115.02$51 inLost-$51.4412551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8953…9b78backed Under75c100$75 inWon+$25560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53c…e569backed Over51c95$48 inLost-$48.45944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over51c88.85$45 inLost-$45.428833.3%96 W · 192 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over44c84.63$37 inLost-$37.2314553.1%77 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over45c76.26$34 inLost-$34.115954.7%87 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under49c54.04$26 inWon+$27.7131656.6%179 W · 137 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over49c40$20 inLost-$19.63228.1%9 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over45c36$16 inLost-$16.224752.2%129 W · 118 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under49c27$13 inWon+$13.7752246.7%244 W · 278 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under50c26$13 inWon+$1352646.8%246 W · 280 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Over45c23.22$10 inLost-$10.454052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1573…a727backed Over50c20$10 inLost-$10475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.