Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8028159781dc33b173eb58aa0867195c4017d5cfbf83ae1496e9d0a443e61be7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AC Sparta Prahaof Olympique Lyonnais, AC Sparta Praha
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Olympique Lyonnais | 22c | 4,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.92 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Olympique Lyonnais | 22c | 3,091$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.52 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed AC Sparta Praha | 77c | 2,691$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.14 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Olympique Lyonnais | 11c | 2,398$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.65 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Olympique Lyonnais | 24c | 2,295$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.16 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 16c | 1,327$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 245 | 45.3%111 W · 134 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 21c | 1,036$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.07 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Olympique Lyonnais | 24c | 945.83$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…8bf1backed Olympique Lyonnais | 25c | 912$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 22c | 743.94$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.95 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked AC Sparta Praha | 75c | 646.37$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.59 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Olympique Lyonnais | 21c | 617.05$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.09 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked AC Sparta Praha | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 69cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed AC Sparta Praha | 77c | 519.09$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.37 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed AC Sparta Praha | 80c | 300.52$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 25c | 283.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Olympique Lyonnais | 23c | 265.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 21c | 258.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed AC Sparta Praha | 79c | 256.87$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Olympique Lyonnais | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked AC Sparta Praha | 75c | 194.45$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…3bc8backed AC Sparta Praha | 77c | 165$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Olympique Lyonnais | 24c | 120.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked AC Sparta Praha | 76c | 115.34$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked AC Sparta Praha | 79c | 105$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Olympique Lyonnais | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Olympique Lyonnais | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked AC Sparta Praha | 76c | 78.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed AC Sparta Praha | 79c | 69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 214 | 60.7%130 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed AC Sparta Praha | 79c | 37.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed AC Sparta Praha | 77c | 36.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed AC Sparta Praha | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked AC Sparta Praha | 77c | 32.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked AC Sparta Praha | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed AC Sparta Praha | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed AC Sparta Praha | 80c | 25.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked AC Sparta Praha | 76c | 20.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed AC Sparta Praha | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed AC Sparta Praha | 76c | 19.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…e401backed AC Sparta Praha | 80c | 15.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.37per pick | 51cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)this page
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: AC Sparta Praha O/U 0.5Over won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: AC Sparta Praha O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: AC Sparta Praha O/U 2.5Under won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 0.5Over won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5Over won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5Under won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5Under won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 5.5Under won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 1.5Under won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: AC Sparta Praha (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: AC Sparta Praha (-2.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)AC Sparta Praha won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.