Champions League · resolved market
AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57be61449960cedc37d7a832071e695d0fd46ee9234d2f97d1864ecbad2b2df2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 6c | 7,154$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.78 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 44c | 6,420$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.78 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 5,845$2,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,878.58 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Under | 2c | 5,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +320.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Under | 13c | 5,325$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.89 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 6c | 5,020$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.97 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 2cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Under | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 2cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under | 6c | 2,918$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Under | 18c | 2,794$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Under | 16c | 2,210$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 4c | 1,207$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 11c | 1,021$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Under | 8c | 889.94$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 878.82$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.64 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 8c | 787.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 21c | 657.25$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.88 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 10c | 613.46$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 27c | 599.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.99 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Under | 54c | 587.2$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 69cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 60c | 546.21$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961c…9d72backed Under | 22c | 383.27$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Under | 12c | 340.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 50c | 322.05$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.32 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 77c | 320.05$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 7c | 312.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 50c | 304.78$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.89 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Under | 6c | 276.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 51c | 266.62$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.68 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 51c | 245.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 14c | 235$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 50c | 206.69$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…08b6backed Under | 15c | 197.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed Over | 73c | 177.41$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 27c | 118.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 11c | 108.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 44c | 108.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 70c | 100.62$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 242 | 45.9%111 W · 131 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfec…4c6cbacked Over | 16c | 82.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 51c | 74.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 26c | 60.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 346 | 42.2%146 W · 200 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 68c | 58.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 54.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 28c | 53.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 51c | 52.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 44c | 47.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 51c | 38.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 43c | 35.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: AC Sparta Praha O/U 0.5Over won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: AC Sparta Praha O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: AC Sparta Praha O/U 2.5Under won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 0.5Over won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5Over won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5Under won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5Under won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 5.5Under won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 1.5Under won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: AC Sparta Praha (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: AC Sparta Praha (-2.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)AC Sparta Praha won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)AC Sparta Praha won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.