TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,503
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,503 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under57c34,727$19,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,888.433627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c28,090$17,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,146.661,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c14,298$6,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,294.81,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over39c9,615$3,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,845.6345042%189 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Under79c6,317$4,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,990.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over56c5,442$3,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415.255543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.936952.2%36 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over34c4,865$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,210.818223.2%19 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Over52c4,200$2,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick2cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over55c2,686$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c2,592$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.287531.1%272 W · 603 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over40c2,455$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.7770435.8%252 W · 452 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.9910232.4%33 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c1,815$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.6341553%220 W · 195 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under62c1,538$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.6417058.8%100 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef54…1444backed Over56c1,528$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.571127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over43c1,512$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.63450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under62c1,508$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.7330856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Under67c1,488$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick69cpaid-63.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under61c1,471$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.6110743.9%47 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Under37c1,367$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.282839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under57c1,359$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.18850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8154…7d37backed Over55c1,342$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.892100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over41c1,308$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.73050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under62c1,284$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.6212551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under60c1,230$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.8723352.8%123 W · 110 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over75c1,197$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.113369.7%23 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+44%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over55c1,089$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.0261447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under48c1,051$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.5988137.7%332 W · 549 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under53c962.26$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.383243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under40c944.71$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.884645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under46c939.91$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.1931342.5%133 W · 180 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under44c849.74$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.8934642.2%146 W · 200 L-15.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under49c779.12$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.052254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29bf…e7e0backed Over40c749.06$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.06580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+56.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4272…4a17backed Over56c704.14$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa249…08b6backed Under3c703.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.531735.3%6 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Under43c675.25$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under45c650.25$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29399435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under44c615.69$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.926445.8%121 W · 143 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over57c596.67$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.0759136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under44c594.92$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.4752046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under59c560.87$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.9115354.2%83 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under58c546.2$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.4914353.8%77 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.714665.2%30 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Under44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.851050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+45.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255623.2%13 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over42c466.42$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.9339443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under59c407.32$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.626734.3%23 W · 44 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Over43c406.98$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.981266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf4e…3309backed Over56c404.89$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1726331.7%20 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under62c399.34$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.376357.1%36 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under46c379.77$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.923948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under9c370.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2110045%45 W · 55 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under44c361.68$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.144027.5%11 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under50c344.03$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.735042%21 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over64c330.64$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0627450.7%139 W · 135 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over53c318.12$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.518144.4%36 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under8c314.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.22250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under44c301.02$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4514255.6%79 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over42c300$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1734740.4%19 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under16c278.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.865538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Under62c276.52$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.234052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under62c273.25$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.663852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd85e…5ba6backed Over40c272.5$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e0…413fbacked Over56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.86666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under44c239.19$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2512250.8%62 W · 60 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under57c227.59$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.853974.4%29 W · 10 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over56c222.58$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1916741.9%70 W · 97 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over45c216.06$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.396259.7%37 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over56c204.67$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.44748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+64.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207345.2%33 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked Under11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3482…fa0ebacked Over52c199.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick47cpaid+73.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc408…7f32backed Under64c186.55$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over56c184.62$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5325729.6%76 W · 181 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5711440.4%46 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over56c177.55$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.122536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8bc…1523backed Over38c169.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.39650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe760…19bdbacked Under8c167.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.19425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under62c154.49$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0712668.3%86 W · 40 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under64c150.31$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.824582.2%37 W · 8 L+10.2wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+39.7%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under53c141.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a96…b71dbacked Under11c130.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under11c128$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0811952.1%62 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over55c118.53$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3422245%100 W · 122 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x961c…9d72backed Under13c116.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.751546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over65c112$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4114645.9%67 W · 79 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under45c108.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7110752.3%56 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over36c107.87$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.131681.3%13 W · 3 L+5.8wins+0.36per pick45cpaid+131.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under36c106$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5624245.9%111 W · 131 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Over41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583627.8%10 W · 26 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-35.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Under65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652540%10 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.