TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05ab…bf47

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
208
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT13543.7%59 W · 76 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 135 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,597.83
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,089Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+611%+$12,764.73
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.38
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$223
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,794Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,793.72
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+126%+$62.99
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$45.69
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Showing 25 of 135 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Thun win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Paide Linnameeskond vs. SK Rapid Wien: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Panathinaikós AO leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.36
The New Saints FC vs. FC Flora: Team to Advancebacked The New Saints FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will The New Saints FC win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Hibernian FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$66.15
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+94.7%+$104.16
Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
FC Lugano vs. KF Dukagjini Klinë: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FCSB vs. FK Auda: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Bohemian FC vs. St Joseph's FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-08-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: Aarhus GF O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$69.38
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Team to Advancebacked Qairat FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+175.8%+$175.77
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: Team to Advancebacked Universitatea Craiova CS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$105.69
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will NK Celje win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Shamrock Rovers FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.9
FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$966Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,046.6
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$69.82
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,296.41
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$26.41
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$815.79
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Odense BK vs. AC Horsens: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$97.55
Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lillestrøm SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$128.58
Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-07-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$133.02
BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
IF Brommapojkarna vs. GAIS: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$35.42
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+355.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$711Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$683.18
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+300%+$2,652.45
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$629.08
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$606.33
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.