TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,943
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,325

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,943 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under61c11,443$6,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,497.5772335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over44c8,036$3,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,533.223852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over32c7,596$2,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.6246741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over38c6,505$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,471.768223.2%19 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c4,992$3,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.081,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over39c4,072$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.4813738.7%53 W · 84 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over52c4,039$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1002437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over38c3,662$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.6411937.8%45 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa2…dc0abacked Over55c3,632$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under59c3,600$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48363346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under53c3,126$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.336048.3%29 W · 31 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+2.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Under62c2,690$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.21656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.9814953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over47c2,270$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.5716440.9%67 W · 97 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under66c1,682$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.4391537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under58c1,624$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.7431847.5%151 W · 167 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under50c1,498$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.231050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under57c1,487$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.2533844.7%151 W · 187 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over38c1,447$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.666142.6%26 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under62c1,209$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.4260748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under50c1,140$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.089246.7%43 W · 49 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under63c1,123$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.8544647.3%211 W · 235 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3903259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37036142.4%153 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under60c963.99$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.1752046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under56c900$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3963956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over39c794.87$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-58.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under61c768$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.9629949.5%148 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under48c661.56$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.536959.4%41 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under61c641.63$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.9143252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Under63c641$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.171675%12 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c616.9$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.511,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under62c492.26$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.0629746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under70c477.67$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.015042%21 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under60c467.94$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.0622245%100 W · 122 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under51c435.29$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.291163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under63c410.46$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.771,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d17…5297backed Under56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.14825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-54.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under62c316.84$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1230856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over33c312.21$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0142438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…3493backed Over39c307.69$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206331.7%20 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over45c295.89$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.271770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+97%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under53c283.01$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.012254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under44c280.28$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.82147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under62c274.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8817058.8%100 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under64c268.13$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6112551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x05ab…bf47backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over44c245$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.83658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Over41c227.68$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.354156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Under45c220.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.072060%12 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Over43c211.87$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.712927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-46.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.75743.9%25 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Under58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over50c190$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under78c186.37$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6237649.5%186 W · 190 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under59c186$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7324252.5%127 W · 115 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Over57c174.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.751963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0846…b540backed Over42c172$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.92933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e69…074bbacked Under61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under63c162.67$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3215954.7%87 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over45c162.6$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.366157.4%35 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+58.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8d13…cd85backed Under61c160.2$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.48966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+40.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6620241.6%84 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Over40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over46c114.91$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3923031.7%73 W · 157 L-18.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Under63c109.31$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.44955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+132%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398253.7%44 W · 38 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a7d…a51cbacked Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Under59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5744033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+54%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under63c99.2$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4714353.8%77 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x276a…fc66backed Under66c99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.66977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under61c98.81$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.813243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over45c89.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3388631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under55c88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.616743.7%73 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf897…7f01backed Under57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.726100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over45c84.6$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.787861.5%48 W · 30 L+10.5wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x98c1…3d1ebacked Under61c79.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22568%17 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x320c…bb82backed Under51c78.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+111.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over45c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.519856.6%112 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5ad…cdfdbacked Under55c69.09$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.09450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x843c…529ebacked Under61c65.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.341060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Under56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.52128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under60c53.21$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.296734.3%23 W · 44 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over29c52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0810049%49 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.54360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over55c46.79$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6317443.7%76 W · 98 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97a7…ac24backed Over51c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.851250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under62c42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9615349.7%76 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over46c40.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.755437%20 W · 34 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick58cpaid+55.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over39c36.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.418053.8%43 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9e…3d5dbacked Under58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.