TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,205
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,206

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,205 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over28c602.22$170 inLost-$170.1736248.6%176 W · 186 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1af3…fbe3backed Over56c490.86$275 inLost-$274.8870%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c349.05$164 inWon+$185.381,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Over56c339.5$190 inLost-$190.123956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under72c224.97$162 inWon+$63.1199435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x812e…8189backed Under47c212.77$100 inWon+$112.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+36%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under44c209.79$92 inWon+$117.4828651%146 W · 140 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under44c188.18$83 inWon+$105.0222452.2%117 W · 107 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d39…ba51backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under43c165.44$71 inWon+$94.33857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Under74c21.09$16 inWon+$5.412927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-46.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.