TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,717
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,717 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c11,090$4,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,240.812,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c9,615$4,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,911.771,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over66c7,126$4,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,671.2949840.4%201 W · 297 L-1.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under37c4,069$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,565.726235.5%22 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under38c3,988$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,486.746432.8%21 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over60c2,654$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.8916440.9%67 W · 97 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Over62c2,604$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.261338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over38c2,536$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.531827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under38c2,500$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,55014953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed Over28c2,390$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.463732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under40c2,063$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.0374935.4%265 W · 484 L-30.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under29c1,506$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.8396837.4%362 W · 606 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over66c1,368$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.3828833.3%96 W · 192 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under35c1,336$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.0332847.9%157 W · 171 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under36c1,200$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.3134445.1%155 W · 189 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under35c1,169$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7602119%4 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-58.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under55c902.24$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.139849.2%196 W · 202 L+19.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under43c834.74$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.913857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under35c803.57$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.6752246.7%244 W · 278 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under74c675.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.932661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over64c613$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.3215741.4%65 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over62c598.73$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.591973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+47.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under46c587.68$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.712551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over62c580$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.61872.2%13 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.28per pick45cpaid+96.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under43c546.52$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.6217758.2%103 W · 74 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over72c544.38$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.376937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under50c542.9$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.542454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under44c537.79$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.5131556.5%178 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over63c525$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.0312138.8%47 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Under52c476.66$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.054461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under36c457.37$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.1310752.3%56 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Over5c421.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.051723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-47.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Under20c415$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3321457.1%8 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+64.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over73c414.73$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.752665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under46c394.94$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.6815954.7%87 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under37c377.63$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.9130949.8%154 W · 155 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over66c366.77$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.9220241.6%84 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9940…59b3backed Under70c354.97$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over16c341.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4821416.8%36 W · 178 L-38.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-69.6%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Over63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003627.8%10 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-35.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009050%45 W · 45 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1926432.8%21 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Over69c292.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.442927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-46.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.745143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over62c252.92$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.8827750.2%139 W · 138 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Under40c250.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.014158.5%24 W · 17 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Under41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.92161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over60c242.62$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.572458.3%14 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under35c241.94$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7814654.8%80 W · 66 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92b3…4e84backed Under42c240.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.66540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over63c236.38$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.9212442.7%53 W · 71 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over63c235.48$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3512151.2%62 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over59c233.4$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.718223.2%19 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under38c230$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.1624752.2%129 W · 118 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Over78c230$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Over64c228.13$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1462347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over64c222.66$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.4991032.6%297 W · 613 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under44c210.61$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6214553.1%77 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over63c206.14$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0343537.9%165 W · 270 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over74c201.89$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.412856.3%72 W · 56 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under39c200.3$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.971338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under60c179.69$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.72944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+79.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x058a…7fdbbacked Under30c174.59$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.041346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked Over63c168.56$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.191457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011440.4%46 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05ab…bf47backed Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under37c157.89$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1722245%100 W · 122 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under71c140.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.237345.2%33 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Under18c134.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.532326.1%6 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x320c…bb82backed Under23c131.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+111.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd04…c5e1backed Under77c127.13$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.24785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick77cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x938c…8df4backed Under80c125.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.191190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick68cpaid+32.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Under73c123$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.21933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over63c118$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.343923.1%9 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over62c110.9$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.766157.4%35 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+58.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625937.3%22 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc856…f642backed Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over53c99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3717451.7%90 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under47c97.66$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.833852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe54…c928backed Over41c96.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.86875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Over52c96.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.644042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f7…3ea6backed Under37c95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.85650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under65c92.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.516259.7%37 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under23c89.22$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.262445.8%11 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under46c83.47$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.415461.1%33 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed Over42c82.84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.79728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-55.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under40c81.83$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.956734.3%23 W · 44 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012668.3%86 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x704b…08b7backed Under55c70.27$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bf1…554ebacked Over63c70.06$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48a6…f266backed Over60c70$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaea…5795backed Under39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.11631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over51c61.13$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0826931.6%85 W · 184 L-22.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Under34c58.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.633240.6%13 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae33…ba39backed Under44c56.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.711650%8 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under44c56.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5214065.7%92 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over62c55.2$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.228061.3%49 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over62c52.9$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.88767.8%59 W · 28 L+13.2wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+31.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over23c51.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8518643.5%81 W · 105 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.