TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x938c…8df4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
132
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6861.8%42 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.89
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.46
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+215.3%+$69.01
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$20.63
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.41
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$4.82
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.54
Norway to score first vs. England?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England to score first vs. Norway?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.46
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
France vs. Morocco: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.59
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.03
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.88
Spread: France (-2.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$13.6
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.79
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$9.01
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.23
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick68cpaid+32.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.56
Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$25.19
Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.35
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.88
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.13
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.57
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.24
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$29.13
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-55.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.32
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.