Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 25, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacfb717ca78f99ebb83a3eff6c69d97f43de0af0bd35ba38a05acea0d5f95938
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,120 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 1c | 2,135$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 103 | 21.4%22 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 1c | 2,089$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked No | 24c | 1,767$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.46 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed Yes | 47c | 1,716$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.48 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 8c | 1,699$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…dae1backed No | 62c | 1,421$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c5…2dacbacked Yes | 38c | 1,250$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +138%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7806…6594backed Yes | 70c | 1,246$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.84 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 75c | 1,054$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.84 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…c345backed No | 62c | 1,025$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 18c | 892.24$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 35c | 850$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…d40bbacked Yes | 38c | 783$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2c…7756backed Yes | 79c | 777.15$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.62 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…4f90backed Yes | 63c | 642.28$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed No | 53c | 632$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…0a63backed Yes | 77c | 607.9$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.83 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…b750backed No | 53c | 575$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.65 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…e52dbacked Yes | 38c | 572$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked No | 53c | 519$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.07 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…445cbacked No | 51c | 485.8$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 74c | 466.85$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.71 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b01…d086backed No | 12c | 428.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…0e0fbacked No | 9c | 404.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 35c | 399.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked No | 19c | 361.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…ecb4backed Yes | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed No | 60c | 350$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…9517backed Yes | 58c | 344.91$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 53c | 330.88$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.94 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 40c | 330.6$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.68 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 23c | 310.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +9.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed No | 65c | 307$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.55 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…d12abacked Yes | 61c | 306.9$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…f2f3backed No | 17c | 300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b5…4c72backed No | 21c | 274$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +10.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed No | 42c | 240.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 17c | 239.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6e…488dbacked Yes | 47c | 211.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x529a…7b60backed No | 19c | 210.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed No | 22c | 209.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…eda0backed Yes | 78c | 206.21$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 11c | 203.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…3239backed No | 15c | 201.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…44bcbacked No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 124 | 5.6%7 W · 117 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed No | 10c | 198.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 35c | 195.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 8c | 172.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 20c | 169.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6c…62c0backed Yes | 80c | 163.49$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…c454backed No | 62c | 159$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed No | 14c | 149.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0848…ffbebacked Yes | 64c | 144.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…a1b5backed Yes | 65c | 139.09$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed No | 28c | 131.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…5f8ebacked No | 31c | 124$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…1051backed Yes | 64c | 123.4$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…78c4backed No | 11c | 119.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…661dbacked No | 11c | 111.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 145 | 20.7%30 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 110.52$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…6d52backed No | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf22…5473backed No | 11c | 104.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf12…cbd9backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…4745backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x074f…6abfbacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…172cbacked Yes | 35c | 92.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.51 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…8df4backed Yes | 61c | 88.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 26c | 86.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9d31backed No | 34c | 85.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked Yes | 68c | 84.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…2fe9backed Yes | 39c | 81.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed No | 15c | 81.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 147 | 15%22 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 28c | 80.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +41.8wins | +0.30per pick | 34cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 78+0.26 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 18c | 80.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 20c | 79.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc207…b24ebacked No | 20c | 74.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…5934backed Yes | 48c | 73.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 79c | 68.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e76…95cdbacked No | 65c | 64.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63b3…ff39backed No | 65c | 61.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae01…0c40backed No | 20c | 61.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…fb4dbacked Yes | 66c | 60.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x800e…4595backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed No | 39c | 57.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 164 | 33.5%55 W · 109 L | -19.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6f…706abacked No | 41c | 53.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1746…515fbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x364f…562cbacked Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ba…a074backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 56c | 41.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked No | 32c | 40.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871f…5885backed No | 28c | 40.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9704…8e26backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked No | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 25, 2026?this page
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 19, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 22, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 24, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 27, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 29, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.