TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87a8…445c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 53 out of 100; worst Music at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-46.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,172.94
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,694Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,693.92
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$711.54
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$846Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$846
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$5,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,467.69
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$53.5
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,975Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$5,492.3
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.54
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,375Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,125
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$139.01
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.64
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.33
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Tennessee State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.66
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.88
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$152.92
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.93
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$261
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.4
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$205
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+345.2%+$949.19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$33.92
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$163.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+187.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+187.3%+$475.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brian Thomas Jr. be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$55.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$867Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$276.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russell 2000 (RUT) hit 2600 (HIGH) in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.