TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,739 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c27,032$13,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,755.34,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over50c26,060$13,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,981.291,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c26,000$12,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,2841,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c21,598$10,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,802.762,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c19,843$9,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,119.871,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under51c11,455$5,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,842.0525049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under51c10,205$5,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,204.841649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c7,305$3,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,589.894,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c6,593$3,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,362.614,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under51c3,618$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84516249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c3,319$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.164,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c2,964$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.332,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Under51c2,867$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4627451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Over51c2,682$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.5711235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over49c2,646$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.461,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Over51c2,500$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2203066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over52c2,295$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.7720545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over50c2,171$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.461,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04019346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c1,646$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.433,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf303…5847backed Under51c1,613$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8303237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c1,496$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.298,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Under49c1,411$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.2311241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c1,320$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9780737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c1,084$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.112,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over51c1,020$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.821247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under53c947.08$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under51c800.17$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.0987049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over48c606$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.2626336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under55c493.11$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27028838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Over49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2046043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over50c391.93$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.9189048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Over50c384$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1926858.8%40 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Over71c350$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.54959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over72c338.43$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7665872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15321049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under52c269.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9816555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33e9…39b0backed Over76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87a8…445cbacked Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Under24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4826530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over50c197.82$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8240541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over43c190$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.325846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under54c185.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c175.6$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.131,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under51c167.59$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.551,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c133.83$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.132,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c126.39$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.723,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Over48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea21…b96cbacked Over51c120.22$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.91666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under32c111.47$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.012,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under47c110.7$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2245445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0606…1d57backed Over49c110$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.65837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Over50c99.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9719851%101 W · 97 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5b…e58abacked Over52c95.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.993026.7%8 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-46.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over44c90$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5080440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under39c84.27$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.761,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over49c75.83$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6738853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c68.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.755,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked Over49c64.09$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6913857.2%79 W · 59 L+13.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Over48c60.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5620350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.845544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1bb…6cc9backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.725138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over49c57.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.051,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under53c57.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.241,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Under56c53.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011753.8%63 W · 54 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Over52c52.94$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3112055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c52.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.675,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Over51c52.17$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5613253.8%71 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc307…bf36backed Under51c50.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.976746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Over50c50.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3835551.3%182 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Over35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.523649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2412357.7%71 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.568645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8f0…03a5backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under48c48.34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.392,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over52c45.17$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8957250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under49c43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.071,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked Under52c42.19$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.947642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over49c41.93$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3855347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad06…b132backed Over35c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264645.7%21 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c3a…5c97backed Over35c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265451.9%28 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+24.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x62bd…3dfbbacked Over47c39.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.192850%14 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7397…05babacked Under36c37.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.721428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over57c36.07$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.512,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over56c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4434047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Over35c34.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3926639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefcb…f64abacked Over50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.124332.6%14 W · 29 L-7.2wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over55c31.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2329848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1513441.8%56 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Over49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.332148.3%155 W · 166 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under47c29.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8155751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under35c29.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3118835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over55c29.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0415662.8%98 W · 58 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Over49c28.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5748152%250 W · 231 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Over52c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4432752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.