NBA · resolved market
Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ed31165935a43108dfd5e16fc44ee12a45ea3c0b7c90d01b27bd09b3573736d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,859 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0ff…24e3backed Yes | 34c | 1,902$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed No | 63c | 1,679$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.29 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 65c | 1,100$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Yes | 1c | 1,063$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Yes | 41c | 739.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe540…2108backed Yes | 35c | 529.33$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Yes | 34c | 170.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…798abacked No | 65c | 150$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked No | 65c | 135$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked No | 64c | 113.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 392 | 65.1%255 W · 137 L | +31.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked No | 67c | 110$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 270 | 74.1%200 W · 70 L | +30.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…5e13backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6005…8b26backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc659…b0acbacked Yes | 34c | 79.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4777…1237backed Yes | 34c | 64.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 66c | 62.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Yes | 42c | 52.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 387 | 36.4%141 W · 246 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe86d…ada3backed No | 65c | 51.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 153 | 62.1%95 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…8efcbacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked No | 65c | 36.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…bc1bbacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 328 | 66.5%218 W · 110 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 58c | 20.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 163 | 69.9%114 W · 49 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 66c | 18.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Clippers won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Bucks vs. ClippersClippers won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Darius Garland: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- John Collins: Points O/U 14.5No won
- John Collins: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-11.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-12.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-14.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.