NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a20dfd2c3d4f2d495ffec7dc79d79aaa3399441377c86bcd5dfc6d75b04a818
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,120 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 52c | 8,379$4,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,001.7 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 5,463$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,645.19 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 3,712$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.05 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…23e3backed Over | 77c | 2,946$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.96 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 1,628$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.76 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 49c | 1,054$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.46 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 17c | 1,029$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Under | 62c | 1,020$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.11 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 666.63$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.98 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 42c | 604.55$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.8 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 48c | 593$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.64 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 584$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.16 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Under | 52c | 578.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 54c | 522$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.12 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 65c | 510.73$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c6…36aabacked Over | 57c | 455.64$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Over | 45c | 445.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.11 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Over | 68c | 406.34$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.34 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 382.74$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.54 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 75c | 333$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 22c | 296.21$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…30d5backed Over | 54c | 295.19$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.79 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 53c | 292.9$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.66 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 28c | 277.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 78c | 266.82$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…39b0backed Over | 74c | 256$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 74c | 206.21$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…8fb7backed Under | 56c | 195.83$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 26c | 190.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…2ee3backed Over | 54c | 185.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.31 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 49c | 175.64$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.14 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 159.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 139.27$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Over | 45c | 124.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 45c | 110.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.62 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 25c | 106.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 45c | 104$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9f…6bc6backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4227…8c10backed Under | 50c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 35c | 67.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd41…017abacked Over | 53c | 62.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…70aebacked Over | 61c | 59.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 80c | 58.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 56c | 39.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 58c | 31.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…9a46backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 37c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…8efcbacked Under | 49c | 25.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Over | 69c | 22.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 52c | 21.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Over | 69c | 20.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…e449backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Over | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Over | 80c | 13.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.74 | 176 | 60.8%107 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Clippers won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Bucks vs. ClippersClippers won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Darius Garland: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- John Collins: Points O/U 14.5No won
- John Collins: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-11.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-12.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-14.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.