NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x745a857b4fa2402303d5402c9d318e2fc39e9ac9676778f58282b16bf43cf6c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,789 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Over | 2c | 19,232$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Over | 1c | 6,692$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 80c | 1,353$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.26 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 61c | 1,227$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.59 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 51c | 1,138$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.25 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7595…50ffbacked Under | 60c | 1,009$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.82 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 27c | 900.81$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.71 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 676.84$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.23 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 629.27$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.17 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 40c | 351.34$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.61 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 41c | 337.73$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.26 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 63c | 335.53$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Under | 61c | 315.13$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.24 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 43c | 298.66$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.06 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 278.17$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.39 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 22c | 262.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.45 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…9672backed Under | 44c | 240.7$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 240.12$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.7 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Over | 42c | 227.76$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 36c | 224.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 44c | 126.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under | 64c | 119.68$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc73…8b36backed Under | 63c | 95.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 54c | 93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 46c | 93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Under | 56c | 91.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 47c | 83.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 45c | 82.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 38c | 75.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 39c | 74.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 43c | 53.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…9a46backed Over | 49c | 49.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…d010backed Over | 41c | 48.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Under | 25c | 46.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 48c | 43.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…4711backed Under | 41c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 58c | 38.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 61c | 37.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 45c | 35.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 38c | 26.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 47c | 25.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 51c | 25.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 163 | 69.9%114 W · 49 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…8de0backed Under | 63c | 21.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 56c | 20.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 59c | 18.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Clippers won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Bucks vs. ClippersClippers won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Darius Garland: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- John Collins: Points O/U 14.5No won
- John Collins: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-11.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-12.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-14.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.