NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-12.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6bf62f04ece287c355f047d6b721bdacce9d49c9d12736a1a3d91020ffd33b0

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Clippersof Clippers, Bucks
Resolved: Mar 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $49,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,634 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Bucks	49c	6,223$3,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,023.02	151	47%71 W · 80 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Clippers	54c	5,570$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,569.8	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b37…3b3ebacked Bucks	46c	5,424$2,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,495.26	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks	19c	3,177$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.09	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks	43c	3,049$1,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,311.08	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Clippers	52c	2,448$1,273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,175.12	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Bucks	47c	2,377$1,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,105.88	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks	44c	1,988$875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$874.81	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed Clippers	52c	1,950$1,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$936	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.9wins	+0.29per pick	51cpaid	+56.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Clippers	55c	1,744$959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$784.64	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks	44c	1,434$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.48	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Bucks	27c	1,350$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.85	263	36.5%96 W · 167 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Clippers	52c	1,158$602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$555.84	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Clippers	55c	1,100$605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Clippers	53c	990.75$526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.75	144	55.6%80 W · 64 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Clippers	52c	988.46$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$474.46	193	59.6%115 W · 78 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe57f…4d74backed Clippers	52c	971.52$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.52	28	71.4%20 W · 8 L	+5.9wins	+0.21per pick	50cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Clippers	57c	877$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.11	170	50%85 W · 85 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb2c…bb26backed Bucks	45c	876.58$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.46	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks	45c	744.07$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.24	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x003d…56b3backed Clippers	56c	713.82$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.82	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bucks	45c	403$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.35	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5302…0a6fbacked Clippers	53c	400$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188	119	57.1%68 W · 51 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Bucks	45c	386.14$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.76	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bucks	44c	373.05$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.63	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Clippers	57c	350.88$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.88	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Clippers	56c	333$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.52	199	57.8%115 W · 84 L	+18.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Clippers	53c	333$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.51	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Bucks	48c	300$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	66	37.9%25 W · 41 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Bucks	43c	300$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	210	49.5%104 W · 106 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Bucks	45c	266.72$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.81	348	54%188 W · 160 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers	51c	263.58$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.42	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x81b0…6592backed Bucks	47c	259.17$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.81	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Bucks	43c	249.19$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.12	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Bucks	47c	236.4$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.96	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks	44c	235.6$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.33	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Clippers	52c	230.77$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.77	248	49.6%123 W · 125 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Bucks	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	257	53.7%138 W · 119 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Clippers	54c	195.98$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.15	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Clippers	51c	189.48$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.85	203	50.2%102 W · 101 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Clippers	55c	153$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.85	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Bucks	44c	150$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.5	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucks	49c	149.02$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.02	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Clippers	51c	149.02$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.02	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Bucks	44c	135.38$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	298	48%143 W · 155 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2344…3dbebacked Clippers	54c	129.63$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.63	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Clippers	60c	120$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	587	54.7%321 W · 266 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Bucks	45c	109.8$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.41	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Clippers	54c	101.85$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.85	92	44.6%41 W · 51 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Bucks	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Bucks	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	533	39.6%211 W · 322 L	-39.9wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Bucks	46c	80.24$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.91	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dab…029dbacked Bucks	47c	63.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	64	35.9%23 W · 41 L	-6.2wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Bucks	44c	57.76$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.51	572	50%286 W · 286 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Bucks	49c	53.06$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	554	44.4%246 W · 308 L	-11.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b57…84ebbacked Bucks	48c	52.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Clippers	56c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Bucks	37c	49.62$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.18	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4168…a631backed Clippers	52c	49.4$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.71	121	46.3%56 W · 65 L	-6.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Clippers	65c	44$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.46	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc74d…8acabacked Bucks	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	143	44.1%63 W · 80 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Bucks	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb912…03a8backed Clippers	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.6wins	-0.33per pick	45cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers	53c	38.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.05	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Bucks	45c	38.35$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.26	248	41.9%104 W · 144 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Clippers	55c	38.26$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.27	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Clippers	52c	38$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.24	931	45.8%426 W · 505 L	-25.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb682…2d79backed Clippers	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x270d…a696backed Clippers	54c	36.64$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.85	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Clippers	55c	34.29$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.43	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04c…c640backed Clippers	55c	28.06$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.63	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…090ebacked Bucks	49c	24.49$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Clippers	53c	23.7$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.14	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Bucks	46c	22.97$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	877	44.7%392 W · 485 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd45…f2aabacked Bucks	46c	21.74$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Clippers	54c	19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.74	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Clippers (-12.5)this page
1H Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Clippers won
Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Bucks vs. ClippersClippers won
Bucks vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
Bucks vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Over won
Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
Darius Garland: Assists O/U 7.5No won
John Collins: Points O/U 14.5No won
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 11.5No won
Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 17.5No won
Spread: Clippers (-11.5)Clippers won
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Clippers won
Spread: Clippers (-14.5)Clippers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Clippers (-12.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event