TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Bucks, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,419,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,419,236 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b3f…3446backed Bucks13c61,538$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0001457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Bucks13c40,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.9954539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Bucks14c27,783$3,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,889.6332653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Bucks13c25,998$3,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,379.7441832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Bucks0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Bucks12c22,488$2,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,738.561,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Bucks13c20,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Bucks13c18,865$2,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,452.4548352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Bucks14c17,261$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416.517250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Bucks13c17,024$2,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.9117646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Bucks13c15,021$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.7337747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks11c12,796$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.81,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks9c11,911$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.244,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bucks16c11,483$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.192,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Bucks13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3009018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4870…85f7backed Bucks14c8,900$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2464445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…e17dbacked Bucks14c8,200$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1485032%16 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Bucks13c7,692$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bucks13c7,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9751,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Bucks13c7,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97577348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Bucks12c7,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84024045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Bucks15c6,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013534.1%46 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Bucks13c6,656$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.7142335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Bucks2c6,191$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks14c6,100$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8541,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Bucks14c6,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed Bucks12c5,984$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.079330.1%28 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed Bucks1c5,600$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.218133.7%61 W · 120 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks0c5,550$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.98820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Bucks14c5,388$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.951,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a65…fdb5backed Bucks1c5,381$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0522423.7%53 W · 171 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Bucks13c5,297$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.1647028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks11c5,268$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.851,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Bucks15c5,262$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.1238540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc414…d870backed Bucks14c5,100$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.992462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Bucks13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Bucks13c4,986$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.1617550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Bucks13c4,970$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62215141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Bucks15c4,949$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.5811843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Bucks13c4,918$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bucks13c4,917$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.1872450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Bucks15c4,890$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.8130840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Bucks16c4,814$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75024247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Bucks15c4,785$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.2918440.8%75 W · 109 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f4c…16f8backed Bucks14c4,172$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-46.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Bucks13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012541.6%52 W · 73 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed Bucks13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004040%16 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks1c3,725$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.251,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Bucks15c3,700$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5557412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cea…2c92backed Bucks13c3,500$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.994839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Bucks8c3,425$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.41,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc45c…b47ebacked Bucks5c3,365$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-67.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2a42backed Bucks11c3,299$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.929851%50 W · 48 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5696…9f97backed Bucks13c2,900$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3772040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Bucks20c2,884$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.134851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bucks12c2,602$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.092,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Bucks9c2,469$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.9393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cd6…ff34backed Bucks16c2,451$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.983520%7 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-61%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Bucks14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Bucks14c2,059$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.8510235.3%36 W · 66 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Bucks14c2,043$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28611156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc20b…2fb8backed Bucks13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2605119.6%10 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d72…02d0backed Bucks13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-70.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Bucks12c1,991$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.1720537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Bucks3c1,941$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.353179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Bucks13c1,937$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.7653539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Bucks13c1,800$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23438434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0d…fec9backed Bucks1c1,700$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.790%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Bucks14c1,637$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.162,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Bucks13c1,599$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.878026.3%21 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd35d…a329backed Bucks1c1,538$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203522.9%8 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5a…280bbacked Bucks13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Bucks13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5763…9266backed Bucks1c1,538$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8702…6304backed Bucks13c1,536$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.719026.7%24 W · 66 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Bucks13c1,510$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.315240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcdec…ec75backed Bucks13c1,500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19512329.3%36 W · 87 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Bucks12c1,490$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18036243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Bucks1c1,490$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.447211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Bucks10c1,490$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.545838%174 W · 284 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Bucks14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005831%18 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Bucks14c1,381$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Bucks14c1,381$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Bucks14c1,337$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.741038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks8c1,295$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.878,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8076…85f9backed Bucks3c1,254$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3716125.5%41 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Bucks12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017532%56 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks12c1,227$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.246,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Bucks11c1,210$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7926336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Clippers79c1,185$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.4460549.8%301 W · 304 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eae…4710backed Bucks14c1,169$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Bucks15c1,147$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17118336.6%67 W · 116 L+0.8wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Bucks12c1,032$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.881,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7820…d3c2backed Bucks12c1,015$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c6…b9adbacked Bucks14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.061250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Bucks5c1,000$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5255316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9c…6824backed Bucks13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304429.5%13 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Bucks13c1,000$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13340726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Bucks14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409117.6%16 W · 75 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Bucks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.