TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,558

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,558 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Over50c2,440$1,209 inWon+$1,230.944,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over65c1,151$748 inWon+$403.1165872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c1,071$536 inLost-$535.672,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under42c901.56$376 inLost-$375.8426336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c645.77$260 inLost-$259.658,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under48c566.87$273 inLost-$272.772,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under59c289.37$171 inLost-$171.3910748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c273.1$124 inLost-$124.325,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over41c213.7$88 inWon+$125.262,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under45c192.52$86 inLost-$86.171,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over43c147.11$63 inWon+$83.931,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Under75c133.62$100 inLost-$10043269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa380…55e3backed Over44c113.64$50 inWon+$63.644630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7656…fd8fbacked Over47c80.85$38 inWon+$42.854434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over40c78.64$31 inWon+$47.312,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe12b…a340backed Under51c78.43$40 inLost-$40812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.38per pick51cpaid-75%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under55c75.85$42 inLost-$41.7258450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Over77c65.15$50 inWon+$15.1557444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under53c61.75$33 inLost-$32.7323651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under56c57.94$32 inLost-$32.443,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Under56c50$28 inLost-$2816651.2%85 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under36c47.1$17 inLost-$16.8151438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under40c45$18 inLost-$17.9590357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54b2…2332backed Over54c36.87$20 inWon+$16.87862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over46c36$17 inWon+$19.3957250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under37c35.65$13 inLost-$13.1937848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under43c35.49$15 inLost-$15.2633159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fa…b505backed Over45c33.33$15 inWon+$18.3311244.6%50 W · 62 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under42c31.8$13 inLost-$13.4816867.3%113 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over51c25.86$13 inWon+$12.7714860.1%89 W · 59 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over47c25.72$12 inWon+$13.6965045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under63c24$15 inLost-$15.1271752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Under55c23.64$13 inLost-$133545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Under76c18.68$14 inLost-$14.210764.5%69 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.