TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa380…55e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT4630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.75
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.75
Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.67
Knicks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.36
Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mavericks vs. Nuggets: O/U 245.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Pelicans vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$46.24
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+105.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$53.44
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$31.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Braga vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Velichie (Velichie) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.