NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46c72d5cb92972c2d20d24f6ba68065a10545853557d0474cc73a88a718428f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,230 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 52c | 27,709$14,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,243.73 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 25,164$12,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,280.98 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 12,257$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600.05 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 12,219$6,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,027.26 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 47c | 9,582$4,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,497 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 55c | 7,382$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.85 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32dd…c881backed Under | 47c | 5,700$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 4,872$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.97 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Over | 56c | 3,573$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.75 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 3,348$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.97 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 3,213$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.75 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Over | 49c | 3,127$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.59 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 45c | 3,101$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.87 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 54c | 3,060$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.42 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 3,026$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.28 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa81b…5473backed Under | 51c | 2,914$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ad…9610backed Under | 51c | 2,893$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 2,858$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.15 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2e…0731backed Under | 51c | 2,801$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…354dbacked Under | 51c | 2,780$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1760…f748backed Under | 51c | 2,776$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Over | 52c | 2,771$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.04 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ec…b4a5backed Over | 49c | 2,712$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Over | 49c | 2,698$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.94 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf550…31a0backed Under | 49c | 2,671$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…4d09backed Over | 49c | 2,667$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…cdcfbacked Under | 51c | 2,594$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb16f…3393backed Under | 51c | 2,586$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3021…3a6abacked Over | 49c | 2,573$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…c6b0backed Over | 49c | 2,569$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…f4a8backed Over | 49c | 2,553$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…34b0backed Over | 49c | 2,548$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5010…712cbacked Over | 51c | 2,525$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x194a…aef0backed Over | 51c | 2,519$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 2,461$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.06 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227a…b85bbacked Over | 49c | 2,446$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…461fbacked Over | 49c | 2,420$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6336…ca2ebacked Under | 51c | 2,335$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x393e…882dbacked Over | 49c | 2,319$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…fe46backed Under | 50c | 2,315$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 52c | 2,309$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.49 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafa5…8fc0backed Under | 51c | 2,256$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…f608backed Under | 49c | 2,255$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc4…5838backed Over | 50c | 2,243$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb639…62bfbacked Under | 51c | 2,163$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9858…7664backed Under | 49c | 2,157$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2748…5eb9backed Under | 49c | 2,110$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e41…0e9cbacked Over | 49c | 2,095$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…cf45backed Over | 51c | 2,086$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 2,012$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.34 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 48c | 1,957$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.36 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10c5…ca0bbacked Under | 51c | 1,937$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e6…54e2backed Over | 51c | 1,881$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…bb53backed Under | 51c | 1,858$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe440…6fa9backed Under | 51c | 1,789$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa54…ed58backed Over | 49c | 1,788$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc486…c1d2backed Under | 51c | 1,776$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b6…ef6dbacked Over | 49c | 1,775$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…b521backed Over | 50c | 1,755$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe152…a081backed Over | 50c | 1,744$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb360…4832backed Under | 51c | 1,743$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b7…1a3dbacked Under | 50c | 1,680$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 47c | 1,664$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.19 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…523bbacked Under | 51c | 1,664$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…8680backed Over | 50c | 1,662$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x475f…3cc3backed Over | 51c | 1,629$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…0d59backed Over | 49c | 1,599$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…f3efbacked Under | 51c | 1,582$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…0fb4backed Under | 50c | 1,575$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8460…2594backed Under | 51c | 1,572$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Over | 49c | 1,549$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.84 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…672ebacked Over | 50c | 1,521$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f81…6f17backed Under | 51c | 1,513$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4240…f14fbacked Under | 49c | 1,486$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…36ecbacked Over | 51c | 1,484$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…7e7fbacked Over | 49c | 1,462$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe883…5708backed Over | 49c | 1,447$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…e48dbacked Under | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…3191backed Under | 50c | 1,414$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 49c | 1,388$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.12 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x179c…f2dcbacked Under | 51c | 1,385$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 53c | 1,373$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.91 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 1,355$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.73 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386e…0039backed Over | 49c | 1,349$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…de94backed Over | 49c | 1,339$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa20c…2bf0backed Under | 51c | 1,311$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e2…1e41backed Over | 49c | 1,310$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1628…7948backed Over | 49c | 1,283$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 44c | 1,268$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.13 | 277 | 35%97 W · 180 L | -30.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 50c | 1,260$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.21 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…5165backed Over | 49c | 1,232$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…836abacked Over | 50c | 1,223$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…b87cbacked Over | 50c | 1,203$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 46c | 1,186$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.3 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…ff44backed Under | 51c | 1,166$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…09ccbacked Under | 50c | 1,142$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf234…7f34backed Over | 49c | 1,138$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 49c | 1,122$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Celtics won
- Thunder vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.