NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe2849ae63274ab46d40129a50ed6375926ac811b40545b41dbbbc0edaf63f93

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Celticsof Thunder, Celtics
Resolved: Mar 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $145,431

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,431 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics	55c	35,358$19,563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,795.72	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Thunder	45c	35,246$15,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,779.58	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Celtics	47c	22,000$10,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,660	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics	55c	7,034$3,882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,152.14	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Thunder	45c	5,800$2,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,609.99	282	45.4%128 W · 154 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Thunder	46c	5,473$2,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,517.58	113	35.4%40 W · 73 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Thunder	44c	3,730$1,641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,641.1	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Thunder	44c	3,709$1,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,631.79	231	47.6%110 W · 121 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Celtics	56c	3,393$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,492.86	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe900…14cdbacked Celtics	55c	2,767$1,522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,245.27	22	77.3%17 W · 5 L	+6.1wins	+0.28per pick	50cpaid	+54.7%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Celtics	53c	2,055$1,089 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$965.93	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Celtics	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920	310	46.8%145 W · 165 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe57f…4d74backed Celtics	55c	1,907$1,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$858.27	28	71.4%20 W · 8 L	+5.9wins	+0.21per pick	50cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Celtics	56c	1,364$764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.29	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Thunder	44c	1,312$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.9	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Celtics	43c	1,000$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570	522	30.3%158 W · 364 L	+20.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Celtics	55c	924.89$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$417.15	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Celtics	48c	894.51$431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$463.41	207	41.1%85 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder	44c	843.36$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.58	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Thunder	44c	795.45$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder	45c	769.79$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.42	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Thunder	48c	738.41$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354	290	40.3%117 W · 173 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Thunder	48c	714.32$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.32	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Thunder	47c	487.23$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Celtics	45c	433.3$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.62	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8c…abbabacked Thunder	47c	425.7$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Thunder	47c	343.69$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	248	49.6%123 W · 125 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Thunder	46c	338$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.59	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder	45c	309.16$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.69	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Thunder	46c	300.12$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.48	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Thunder	44c	300$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	181	57.5%104 W · 77 L	+21.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5f79…f7f7backed Thunder	45c	299.98$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.99	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Celtics	54c	271.5$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.43	492	49.8%245 W · 247 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0ec…f7dabacked Celtics	47c	270.91$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.58	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-5.2wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-34%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Celtics	55c	263.5$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.58	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb120…f2ffbacked Celtics	39c	263.05$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.29	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb846…eb61backed Celtics	54c	231.48$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.48	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+3.0wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Thunder	45c	217.55$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.9	109	40.4%44 W · 65 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Thunder	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	205	52.2%107 W · 98 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5265…0d3bbacked Celtics	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Thunder	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	66	37.9%25 W · 41 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Celtics	56c	200$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e8…7cbfbacked Thunder	46c	200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-3.7wins	-0.29per pick	36cpaid	-84.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Celtics	46c	199.99$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	487	51.7%252 W · 235 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Celtics	54c	197.61$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.5	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Celtics	57c	197.04$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.21	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x661f…098abacked Celtics	52c	196.26$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.17	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Thunder	44c	184.09$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Celtics	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	118	33.9%40 W · 78 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Celtics	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed9…4e00backed Thunder	45c	178$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.1	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Celtics	56c	168.48$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.13	220	48.6%107 W · 113 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Celtics	56c	163$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.72	775	49.2%381 W · 394 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e1e…4b91backed Thunder	45c	160.99$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.54	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Thunder	45c	146.34$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.14	176	43.2%76 W · 100 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Thunder	54c	143.36$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.8	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9543…65f5backed Thunder	46c	142$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.32	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics	56c	118.42$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.1	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Celtics	55c	118.18$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.96	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Thunder	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Thunder	45c	108.78$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.95	181	43.1%78 W · 103 L	-12.3wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Celtics	42c	101.72$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Thunder	58c	101.72$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	185	34.1%63 W · 122 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Thunder	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	533	39.6%211 W · 322 L	-39.9wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ba0…811dbacked Thunder	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49dd…a40bbacked Celtics	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	145	55.2%80 W · 65 L	+9.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x471f…5187backed Celtics	53c	91.93$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.21	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Celtics	56c	89.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.29	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1230…8e43backed Thunder	45c	88.89$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	84	42.9%36 W · 48 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x388b…629fbacked Celtics	56c	88.84$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.09	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Celtics	43c	84.95$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.43	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Thunder	44c	79.3$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.89	100	50%50 W · 50 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Celtics	56c	70.08$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.09	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Thunder	44c	70$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	596	50.3%300 W · 296 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf51…4269backed Celtics	55c	70$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb682…2d79backed Celtics	55c	67.22$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.25	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Thunder	42c	64.47$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.33	213	49.3%105 W · 108 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Celtics	56c	63.71$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.21	272	51.1%139 W · 133 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b63…050abacked Celtics	55c	55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.75	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Celtics	54c	53.94$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.83	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xeb51…733cbacked Thunder	47c	53.4$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	115	42.6%49 W · 66 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Thunder	47c	53.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-4.8wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1570…a4efbacked Celtics	54c	53$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.38	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+87.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Celtics	46c	51.72$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.98	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb82a…ef47backed Celtics	56c	51.71$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.76	50	62%31 W · 19 L	+4.8wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Thunder	53c	50.17$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.83	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Celtics	47c	49.3$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.14	421	53%223 W · 198 L	+23.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Thunder	44c	48.57$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.37	162	42.6%69 W · 93 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b54…15dcbacked Celtics	55c	48$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd76a…9ba5backed Celtics	55c	47$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.15	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+88.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe97f…9337backed Celtics	54c	46.3$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	184	53.3%98 W · 86 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x787a…9199backed Celtics	54c	46.3$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+4.5wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ad7…9d4cbacked Celtics	55c	44$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.8	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.7wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+78.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dcc…45f6backed Thunder	59c	43.69$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.78	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee3…bf37backed Celtics	54c	43.48$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Thunder	44c	43$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.92	175	53.7%94 W · 81 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Celtics	53c	42.02$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.57	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x086c…4932backed Thunder	46c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	50	56%28 W · 22 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Thunder	53c	38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.14	492	47.2%232 W · 260 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Thunder	48c	37.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	659	50.8%335 W · 324 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Thunder (-3.5)this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder won
Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 19.5No won
Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Celtics won
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Celtics won
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Celtics won
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Celtics won
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Celtics won
Thunder vs. CelticsCeltics won
Thunder vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Thunder vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
Thunder vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
Thunder vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Over won
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Over won
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5Over won
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Over won
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Over won
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Over won
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Over won
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Over won
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Over won
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Under won
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Thunder (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event