NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0d0feec47e857b4ea3640f774e1200ed8b2c2cf69be0d9f89f5a10b600a4572
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Thunder, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $763,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $763,716 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Celtics | 52c | 152,262$79,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,227.54 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a0…9a09backed Celtics | 52c | 120,000$62,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,599.97 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Thunder | 48c | 112,193$53,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,530.76 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 48c | 110,818$53,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,109.61 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Celtics | 52c | 65,385$34,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,384.62 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Thunder | 48c | 60,000$28,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,800 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Celtics | 51c | 32,874$16,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,251.77 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Thunder | 49c | 30,823$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Celtics | 53c | 30,785$16,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,469.06 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Thunder | 48c | 19,202$9,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,285.7 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 47c | 18,717$8,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,801.91 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics | 52c | 16,654$8,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,995 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Celtics | 51c | 15,500$7,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,594.99 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 48c | 14,365$6,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,928.15 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Thunder | 47c | 13,538$6,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,362.67 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Celtics | 52c | 13,000$6,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Thunder | 48c | 10,289$4,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,937.94 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…92e0backed Thunder | 48c | 9,625$4,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,620 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 47c | 9,170$4,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,287.3 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Thunder | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…5847backed Thunder | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Celtics | 51c | 8,000$4,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,889.97 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Celtics | 51c | 7,919$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,848.27 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Thunder | 48c | 7,708$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 40c | 6,432$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.89 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Thunder | 48c | 6,426$3,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,084.58 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Thunder | 48c | 5,473$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627.04 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Thunder | 48c | 5,067$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Celtics | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.97 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Thunder | 48c | 4,215$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.21 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Thunder | 48c | 4,102$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a47…0c54backed Thunder | 49c | 4,072$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 47c | 4,000$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.93 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Thunder | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Celtics | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Celtics | 50c | 3,841$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.36 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…c3c6backed Celtics | 52c | 3,583$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.83 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Thunder | 49c | 3,512$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.88 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Thunder | 48c | 3,500$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Thunder | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ee…f532backed Thunder | 49c | 2,879$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Thunder | 51c | 2,870$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.7 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Thunder | 51c | 2,856$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.44 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87c…4119backed Celtics | 51c | 2,838$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…b64abacked Thunder | 49c | 2,831$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe112…ccd7backed Thunder | 49c | 2,790$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…30d7backed Thunder | 49c | 2,779$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Celtics | 53c | 2,736$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.92 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a77…510fbacked Celtics | 51c | 2,711$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3042…5803backed Thunder | 49c | 2,693$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 50c | 2,688$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.82 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…4161backed Thunder | 49c | 2,610$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…2026backed Thunder | 49c | 2,595$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…1deebacked Celtics | 51c | 2,570$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0f…f976backed Thunder | 49c | 2,505$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…1fbebacked Celtics | 51c | 2,481$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6cd3backed Celtics | 51c | 2,384$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Celtics | 52c | 2,321$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.08 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…f7cebacked Celtics | 51c | 2,292$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf63…cf8bbacked Celtics | 51c | 2,192$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…3f4fbacked Thunder | 49c | 2,183$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed0…56bebacked Celtics | 51c | 2,160$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…09febacked Thunder | 49c | 2,068$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Thunder | 47c | 2,021$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3b…8d68backed Celtics | 51c | 1,988$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 51c | 1,964$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.51 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe4…8cefbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,959$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Celtics | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.27 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1249…6edebacked Thunder | 49c | 1,854$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Thunder | 49c | 1,783$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.56 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af3…ed64backed Thunder | 49c | 1,721$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Celtics | 53c | 1,658$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.25 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5805…f983backed Celtics | 51c | 1,643$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Celtics | 53c | 1,637$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.03 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Celtics | 52c | 1,633$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.93 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d0…9398backed Celtics | 51c | 1,609$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b3…6b95backed Thunder | 50c | 1,601$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x833f…0881backed Celtics | 51c | 1,592$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe035…be08backed Celtics | 51c | 1,554$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…b13cbacked Celtics | 51c | 1,512$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Celtics | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.43 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe631…f935backed Thunder | 49c | 1,490$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…29a1backed Thunder | 49c | 1,481$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Thunder | 51c | 1,410$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…a789backed Thunder | 49c | 1,390$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…2739backed Thunder | 49c | 1,379$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Thunder | 48c | 1,377$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab2…4bb2backed Thunder | 49c | 1,373$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa932…3f0cbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,314$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209d…9416backed Celtics | 51c | 1,311$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…dbbbbacked Celtics | 51c | 1,305$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba70…0240backed Celtics | 51c | 1,305$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Thunder | 49c | 1,300$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Thunder | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 49c | 1,232$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.23 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…74e9backed Thunder | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.57 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8b…c6eabacked Celtics | 51c | 1,205$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,191$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.77 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Celtics won
- Thunder vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.