NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae0bacd8397c67269daea66181ae83fdb39c522616db9d93f69e63eadc975daa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Thunder, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,250,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,250,841 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,493 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 56c | 635,590$355,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355,519.93 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics | 44c | 614,423$270,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344,076.76 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Celtics | 74c | 450,926$332,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118,332.07 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Celtics | 44c | 401,245$176,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224,846.54 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Thunder | 56c | 200,000$112,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,000 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Thunder | 57c | 200,000$115,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,000 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Celtics | 44c | 153,158$67,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,768.4 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Celtics | 44c | 150,000$66,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,999.98 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Thunder | 64c | 136,175$87,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,151.72 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Thunder | 56c | 101,265$56,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,819 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7380…509fbacked Thunder | 63c | 91,905$57,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,734.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Thunder | 56c | 89,238$49,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,973.13 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Celtics | 45c | 88,347$39,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,590.67 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 57c | 85,173$48,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,230.55 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 59c | 79,120$46,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,469.61 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Celtics | 55c | 63,127$34,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,343.22 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Celtics | 43c | 60,000$25,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,199.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Celtics | 44c | 57,457$25,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,175.7 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Celtics | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,000 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Thunder | 1c | 44,002$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Celtics | 58c | 40,727$23,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,164 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Celtics | 42c | 33,500$14,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,430 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Thunder | 58c | 30,997$17,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,868.31 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Thunder | 2c | 30,152$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.25 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Thunder | 55c | 30,000$16,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,599.99 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…681abacked Celtics | 44c | 28,227$12,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,807.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Thunder | 56c | 27,948$15,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,650.61 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Thunder | 57c | 27,316$15,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,570 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 41c | 26,142$10,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,646.09 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Thunder | 54c | 25,879$14,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,025.67 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 56c | 25,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,999.8 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Thunder | 61c | 23,688$14,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,399.23 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Thunder | 24c | 23,001$5,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,406.37 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 11c | 21,422$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.42 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Thunder | 2c | 20,998$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.66 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Celtics | 44c | 19,998$8,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,132.22 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Thunder | 40c | 19,879$7,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,883.32 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 38c | 19,840$7,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,444.71 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6233…6349backed Thunder | 56c | 18,320$10,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,258.94 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Thunder | 56c | 17,857$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Thunder | 6c | 16,796$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.13 | 92 | 20.7%19 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Celtics | 39c | 16,664$6,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,139.1 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder | 3c | 16,078$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.63 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Thunder | 56c | 15,720$8,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,813.02 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Thunder | 2c | 15,600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Thunder | 55c | 15,509$8,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,529.76 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 42c | 14,661$6,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,470.62 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 34c | 14,379$4,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,822.06 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Thunder | 55c | 13,767$7,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,571.6 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Thunder | 57c | 13,250$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Thunder | 31c | 12,949$4,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060.52 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics | 44c | 12,933$5,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,242.52 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Thunder | 1c | 12,900$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Thunder | 8c | 12,861$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.92 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Thunder | 56c | 12,690$7,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,059.97 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 45c | 12,557$5,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,952.08 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Celtics | 44c | 12,500$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Thunder | 58c | 12,260$7,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,088.32 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Thunder | 56c | 12,005$6,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,723.04 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Thunder | 66c | 11,743$7,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,789.27 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Celtics | 45c | 10,616$4,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,838.56 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Celtics | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Celtics | 49c | 9,999$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.49 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…dd3bbacked Celtics | 71c | 9,906$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.48 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Celtics | 44c | 9,868$4,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,540.12 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Celtics | 37c | 9,330$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,877.85 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…8e9dbacked Thunder | 56c | 9,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040.05 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Celtics | 43c | 9,000$3,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.63 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Celtics | 45c | 8,869$3,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,882.07 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Thunder | 1c | 8,804$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…3d75backed Celtics | 45c | 8,515$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,689.86 | 147 | 38.1%56 W · 91 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked Thunder | 44c | 8,357$3,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650.55 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Thunder | 60c | 8,298$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Thunder | 63c | 8,274$5,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,184.94 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Celtics | 33c | 8,215$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,491.84 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Thunder | 56c | 8,151$4,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,564.53 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Celtics | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Celtics | 42c | 8,000$3,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,677.72 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Thunder | 61c | 7,905$4,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,809.49 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 54c | 7,823$4,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,592.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4870…85f7backed Celtics | 43c | 7,600$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,332 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…079fbacked Thunder | 57c | 7,600$4,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,331.92 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Thunder | 57c | 7,395$4,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,189.36 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Thunder | 61c | 7,270$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,443.88 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…4530backed Celtics | 48c | 7,227$3,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,773.38 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Thunder | 59c | 7,000$4,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,130 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Thunder | 57c | 7,000$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.96 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Celtics | 43c | 6,999$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,008.01 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Thunder | 9c | 6,791$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 161 | 62.7%101 W · 60 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Celtics | 40c | 6,667$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000.17 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 44c | 6,500$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Thunder | 65c | 6,369$4,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,152.5 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Thunder | 31c | 6,307$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.58 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Celtics | 41c | 6,233$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,677.72 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Celtics | 33c | 6,202$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,176.68 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Celtics | 45c | 6,111$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,361.11 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Thunder | 56c | 6,069$3,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,398.4 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Celtics | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e6…7ce6backed Celtics | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…f355backed Thunder | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.98 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Celticsthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Celtics won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.