NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfba89f7bc328374e25018eebd311646f520b3bbad15763dbafe75cd1306f34cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,894 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under | 47c | 2,585$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 53c | 2,490$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.4 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 53c | 1,647$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.09 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 1,324$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.01 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 54c | 1,308$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.65 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…c3f4backed Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 47c | 981.05$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.92 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 833$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.19 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 717.94$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.19 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 656.09$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.7 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 639.49$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Under | 48c | 611.06$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.25 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 49c | 601$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.39 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…0a6fbacked Over | 53c | 599.96$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.98 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 593.4$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.87 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 554.92$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.45 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Under | 48c | 368.28$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.77 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 45c | 361.21$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.92 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 53c | 322.01$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.16 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 49c | 309.04$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.43 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 52c | 308.21$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 270.37$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.78 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 43c | 254.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.88 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Under | 47c | 254.18$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.46 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Over | 53c | 249.02$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 241.33$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.13 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Over | 58c | 236.38$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 52c | 234.26$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.71 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb617…db8abacked Over | 51c | 228.74$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…625fbacked Under | 50c | 226$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…2ab2backed Over | 50c | 223.58$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc447…9383backed Under | 50c | 222$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7912…59fbbacked Under | 49c | 222$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf21…a80cbacked Over | 50c | 213.66$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…56a9backed Under | 50c | 213$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca33…6368backed Over | 50c | 211.38$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…437cbacked Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09b…24e8backed Over | 51c | 199.84$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 198.64$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.67 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…b4f8backed Over | 51c | 198.26$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440f…0205backed Under | 49c | 197$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…bb69backed Under | 49c | 195$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 46c | 193.38$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f2…f294backed Over | 51c | 192.16$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x923d…38d8backed Under | 49c | 192$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc961…07f5backed Over | 51c | 190.68$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…688abacked Over | 50c | 189.34$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 182.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.77 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over | 55c | 181.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa695…fc7ebacked Over | 51c | 181.32$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…b84cbacked Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc486…40c2backed Under | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1679…e172backed Under | 49c | 178$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9540…c128backed Under | 50c | 176.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 57c | 168.3$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 53c | 163.58$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…a5acbacked Under | 48c | 153$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Under | 45c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 51c | 146.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 49c | 144.42$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 44c | 124.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 119.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over | 55c | 114.07$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…b58ebacked Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Over | 51c | 106.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 42c | 106.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 42c | 105.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 47c | 92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c6…564dbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 29c | 87.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…29bfbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…e35cbacked Over | 51c | 85.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…bafbbacked Over | 48c | 82.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8967…692bbacked Over | 52c | 82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c84…d6c8backed Over | 62c | 80.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0478backed Over | 52c | 78.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Over | 53c | 76.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aef…da41backed Over | 59c | 75.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5129…40f3backed Over | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Over | 55c | 72.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Over | 55c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Under | 47c | 67.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 53c | 67.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…79b9backed Over | 52c | 67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…5344backed Under | 47c | 65.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Over | 53c | 64.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 48c | 64.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 46c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…fbabbacked Over | 58c | 63.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…b50abacked Over | 52c | 59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Celtics won
- Thunder vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.