TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f79…f7f7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT9442.6%40 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$255
Spread: Magic (-16.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.66
Spread: Magic (-15.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.51
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.15
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.5
Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.99
Kings vs. Magic: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.03
Kings vs. Magic: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.51
Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.2
Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.99
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$161.98
Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$104.72
Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.23
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$104.1
Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$92.45
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$109
Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.99
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.61
Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.95
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick39cpaid+85.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$173.25
LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$389.99
LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$9.1
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$425
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$513.34
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$384
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$710
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$640
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$2,359.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,088Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$512
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$1,279.19
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+67.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$160.78
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$130
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$904Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$903.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.