NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab5edefbd5d3eb9b83d8d883fb94969a60cbd22be5c1b31db67c2659535c5220
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Nuggets, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,081 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Mavericks | 65c | 44,837$29,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,722.74 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nuggets | 35c | 24,755$8,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,664.33 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets | 35c | 9,349$3,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,303.31 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 37c | 4,126$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a1…33eebacked Mavericks | 52c | 3,847$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…f27ebacked Nuggets | 48c | 3,847$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Nuggets | 35c | 3,750$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.55 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets | 36c | 2,832$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.59 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Nuggets | 31c | 1,194$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.19 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Mavericks | 55c | 1,030$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.26 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…0c67backed Mavericks | 58c | 1,020$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c61…db4bbacked Mavericks | 69c | 1,004$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.76 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks | 71c | 952.45$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.23 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 62c | 736$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…ce71backed Mavericks | 71c | 706.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.35 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nuggets | 33c | 567.71$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.34 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Nuggets | 22c | 553.38$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.84 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Mavericks | 62c | 548$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.98 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Nuggets | 38c | 407.01$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.66 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Nuggets | 42c | 369.01$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.61 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nuggets | 36c | 365.24$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.42 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Nuggets | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 44c | 271.4$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.39 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nuggets | 41c | 260.33$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Nuggets | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Nuggets | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Nuggets | 31c | 235.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Nuggets | 42c | 233.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…6c9bbacked Nuggets | 24c | 215.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuggets | 27c | 191.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Nuggets | 41c | 191.33$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.09 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bff…267ebacked Nuggets | 38c | 165$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks | 58c | 152.7$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Nuggets | 43c | 149.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…57e6backed Mavericks | 68c | 147.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Nuggets | 45c | 130.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Nuggets | 39c | 121$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Mavericks | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Nuggets | 38c | 108.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mavericks | 62c | 104.78$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Nuggets | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mavericks | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…bb30backed Nuggets | 40c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Nuggets | 28c | 92.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e03…ea8bbacked Mavericks | 65c | 90.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Mavericks | 60c | 83.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nuggets | 33c | 78.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Nuggets | 35c | 76.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Mavericks | 57c | 76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Nuggets | 36c | 74.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Nuggets | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Nuggets | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks | 55c | 65.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Nuggets | 33c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Nuggets | 40c | 60.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Nuggets | 45c | 60.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Nuggets | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Mavericks | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Nuggets | 30c | 56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…54edbacked Nuggets | 59c | 54.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Mavericks | 62c | 53.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Nuggets | 36c | 52.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Nuggets | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8585…eef1backed Nuggets | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Nuggets | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Nuggets | 28c | 49.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Nuggets | 28c | 46.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Nuggets | 43c | 45.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Nuggets | 46c | 43.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Nuggets | 39c | 42.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Nuggets | 30c | 42.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac3…c2b6backed Nuggets | 41c | 41.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nuggets | 45c | 40.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Nuggets | 38c | 39.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Nuggets | 39c | 39.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Mavericks | 71c | 38.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Mavericks | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…dbe5backed Mavericks | 62c | 37.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c4…d765backed Mavericks | 71c | 33.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf3…8f91backed Mavericks | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…271dbacked Mavericks | 55c | 28.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Nuggets | 48c | 25.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Nuggets | 40c | 25.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Mavericks | 57c | 24.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Mavericks | 55c | 23.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed3…655abacked Mavericks | 55c | 23.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Mavericks | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 148 | 58.1%86 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…7489backed Mavericks | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks | 57c | 19.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Mavericks | 66c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…1641backed Mavericks | 64c | 17.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Mavericks | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Mavericks vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 126.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets: O/U 245.5Over won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.