TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Nuggets, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,081

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,081 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Mavericks65c44,837$29,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,722.7436549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nuggets35c24,755$8,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,664.3366248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets35c9,349$3,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,303.312,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets37c4,126$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.228,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32a1…33eebacked Mavericks52c3,847$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.353100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc94c…f27ebacked Nuggets48c3,847$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Nuggets35c3,750$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.551,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets36c2,832$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.593,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Nuggets31c1,194$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.1920838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Mavericks55c1,030$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.2615844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd753…0c67backed Mavericks58c1,020$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c61…db4bbacked Mavericks69c1,004$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.761464.3%9 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks71c952.45$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.232,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks62c736$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.686,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc57…ce71backed Mavericks71c706.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.359655.2%53 W · 43 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nuggets33c567.71$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.342,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Nuggets22c553.38$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8483039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Mavericks62c548$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.981,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Nuggets38c407.01$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6611543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f79…f7f7backed Nuggets42c369.01$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.619442.6%40 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Nuggets36c365.24$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.421,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Nuggets41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets44c271.4$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.394,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Nuggets41c260.33$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.971,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Nuggets40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Nuggets40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Nuggets31c235.69$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.051,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Nuggets42c233.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2144551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae6f…6c9bbacked Nuggets24c215.22$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.733438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuggets27c191.41$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.123,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Nuggets41c191.33$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0929344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bff…267ebacked Nuggets38c165$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks58c152.7$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.214,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Nuggets43c149.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4913448.5%65 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed Mavericks68c147.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.29040%36 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Nuggets45c130.43$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.691,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Nuggets39c121$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.758740.2%35 W · 52 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Mavericks65c115.38$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.387455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Nuggets38c108.55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2576247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mavericks62c104.78$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.471,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Nuggets41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4153339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Mavericks63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3769337.8%262 W · 431 L+2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff7f…bb30backed Nuggets40c99.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.54637%17 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Nuggets28c92.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2618242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e03…ea8bbacked Mavericks65c90.09$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.531758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Mavericks60c83.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1561056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nuggets33c78.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.731,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Nuggets35c76.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1456447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Mavericks57c76$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.31,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Nuggets36c74.28$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0241449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Nuggets34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2591746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Nuggets45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks55c65.2$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.243,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Nuggets33c62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4680440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Nuggets40c60.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2413447%63 W · 71 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Nuggets45c60.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2760945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Nuggets45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2734047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Mavericks59c59.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3293145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Nuggets30c56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0530840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x880e…54edbacked Nuggets59c54.17$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327458.1%43 W · 31 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc63a…26a0backed Mavericks62c53.68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.44845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Nuggets36c52.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.959338.7%36 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Nuggets44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2221349.3%105 W · 108 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8585…eef1backed Nuggets39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Nuggets44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2216651.2%85 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Nuggets28c49.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.899244.6%41 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Nuggets28c46.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7936949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Nuggets43c45.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Nuggets46c43.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9539943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Nuggets39c42.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8516046.3%74 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Nuggets30c42.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.718250%41 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac3…c2b6backed Nuggets41c41.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.272425%6 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Nuggets45c40.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.412,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Nuggets38c39.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0187744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Nuggets39c39.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7218052.2%94 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Mavericks71c38.76$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.165630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Mavericks67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3165349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9808…dbe5backed Mavericks62c37.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7c4…d765backed Mavericks71c33.61$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.611346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bf3…8f91backed Mavericks68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.412245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a13…271dbacked Mavericks55c28.95$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.034450%22 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked Nuggets48c25.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.27642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Nuggets40c25.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0922454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Mavericks57c24.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.423545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Mavericks55c23.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8134248.8%167 W · 175 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ed3…655abacked Mavericks55c23.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Mavericks67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.614858.1%86 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cab…7489backed Mavericks55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks57c19.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.352,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Mavericks66c17.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9765542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdeb9…1641backed Mavericks64c17.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.232050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Mavericks66c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4814157.4%81 W · 60 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.