NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5154d98035f55d8972f0571ccec04edcc186941eb440fba7608badd684f10fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Mavericks, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,443,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,443,911 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacae…6798backed Mavericks | 13c | 476,912$62,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,974.71 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 19c | 129,946$24,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,896.61 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mavericks | 13c | 46,963$6,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,293.62 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Mavericks | 16c | 40,464$6,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,532.68 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 16c | 37,207$5,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,781.4 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Mavericks | 15c | 35,475$5,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,402.09 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks | 5c | 29,720$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.24 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mavericks | 15c | 24,541$3,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,681.09 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Mavericks | 17c | 20,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mavericks | 0c | 19,927$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Nuggets | 80c | 18,801$14,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,803.71 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Mavericks | 13c | 17,232$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.48 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 22c | 17,207$3,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,711.31 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Mavericks | 18c | 16,454$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,953.72 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Mavericks | 13c | 15,365$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.59 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…f51abacked Nuggets | 79c | 12,690$10,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Mavericks | 0c | 11,690$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Mavericks | 21c | 10,984$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.91 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mavericks | 5c | 10,066$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.58 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Mavericks | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ab…506dbacked Mavericks | 14c | 9,099$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.9 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mavericks | 0c | 9,014$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Mavericks | 14c | 8,945$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.26 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mavericks | 11c | 8,218$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.04 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Mavericks | 16c | 7,934$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.51 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Mavericks | 14c | 7,800$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.98 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…079fbacked Mavericks | 14c | 7,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Mavericks | 15c | 7,200$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.52 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mavericks | 8c | 6,744$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.22 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Mavericks | 19c | 6,710$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.18 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Mavericks | 14c | 6,500$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.48 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Mavericks | 14c | 5,475$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.43 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Mavericks | 16c | 5,357$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.19 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Nuggets | 75c | 5,100$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 179 | 62%111 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Mavericks | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…5befbacked Mavericks | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Mavericks | 29c | 4,871$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…757bbacked Mavericks | 9c | 4,786$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.73 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Mavericks | 22c | 4,778$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.09 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…e0ddbacked Nuggets | 80c | 4,382$3,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.36 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Mavericks | 18c | 4,039$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.79 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Mavericks | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Mavericks | 14c | 3,757$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.94 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Mavericks | 14c | 3,418$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.76 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Mavericks | 18c | 3,244$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.31 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Mavericks | 15c | 3,222$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.3 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a07…1ab7backed Mavericks | 14c | 3,209$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 16c | 3,050$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…3845backed Mavericks | 14c | 2,977$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.83 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Mavericks | 19c | 2,912$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.93 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Mavericks | 18c | 2,904$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.01 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Mavericks | 17c | 2,856$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.07 | 252 | 26.6%67 W · 185 L | -26.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Mavericks | 17c | 2,820$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.4 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Mavericks | 16c | 2,813$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Nuggets | 79c | 2,743$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.11 | 161 | 62.7%101 W · 60 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…2fb8backed Mavericks | 11c | 2,700$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Mavericks | 22c | 2,648$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.45 | 92 | 20.7%19 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…f773backed Mavericks | 15c | 2,604$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x771b…932cbacked Mavericks | 14c | 2,600$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Nuggets | 77c | 2,598$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.8 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443a…ba14backed Mavericks | 17c | 2,586$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Nuggets | 78c | 2,567$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.41 | 121 | 42.1%51 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…7235backed Mavericks | 10c | 2,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Mavericks | 18c | 2,305$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.92 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Mavericks | 14c | 2,281$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.54 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…9afabacked Mavericks | 19c | 2,104$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 73 | 13.7%10 W · 63 L | -11.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Mavericks | 15c | 2,013$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.4 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Mavericks | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Mavericks | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Mavericks | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Mavericks | 12c | 1,995$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.4 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…d644backed Nuggets | 79c | 1,924$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.27 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Mavericks | 15c | 1,852$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.34 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed Nuggets | 74c | 1,847$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.36 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 15c | 1,806$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.86 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Mavericks | 20c | 1,793$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.19 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Mavericks | 14c | 1,721$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.48 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Mavericks | 17c | 1,600$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Mavericks | 17c | 1,573$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.43 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Mavericks | 16c | 1,563$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Mavericks | 14c | 1,502$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Mavericks | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 230 | 58.7%135 W · 95 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Mavericks | 20c | 1,490$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.07 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…e490backed Mavericks | 14c | 1,428$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…3ab2backed Mavericks | 14c | 1,428$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Mavericks | 14c | 1,398$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.72 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeba…9ff9backed Mavericks | 24c | 1,385$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.22 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…3d75backed Mavericks | 14c | 1,384$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 147 | 38.1%56 W · 91 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Mavericks | 1c | 1,316$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…9d23backed Nuggets | 75c | 1,237$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…73e5backed Mavericks | 2c | 1,214$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 15%15 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Mavericks | 15c | 1,200$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…b218backed Mavericks | 13c | 1,170$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.04 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd7…a65ebacked Nuggets | 73c | 1,132$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…58ecbacked Mavericks | 13c | 1,113$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.35 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6593…c7a8backed Mavericks | 3c | 1,105$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea07…e0edbacked Mavericks | 14c | 1,100$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Mavericks | 14c | 1,077$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Mavericks | 20c | 1,064$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.96 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa0…b86ebacked Mavericks | 14c | 1,030$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Nuggetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 126.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets: O/U 245.5Over won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.