NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Nuggets: O/U 245.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bc1088c5aa055350231f3a4ae4dd47a8b8bbefe1ea5044c58c959ef570605a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,112 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…92e0backed Under | 50c | 5,772$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.98 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 50c | 4,320$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 3,907$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.53 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 52c | 3,864$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.64 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…5e15backed Over | 49c | 3,058$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa129…e4adbacked Over | 49c | 2,964$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 2,587$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 2,570$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.3 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…fa54backed Under | 51c | 2,511$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…4331backed Over | 50c | 2,107$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.57 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e19…d0f1backed Over | 49c | 2,048$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Over | 50c | 1,986$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.8 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c2…3d92backed Under | 51c | 1,953$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Over | 66c | 1,667$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 50c | 1,606$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…fe38backed Under | 51c | 1,509$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc902…90b7backed Over | 49c | 1,490$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…9e14backed Under | 51c | 1,454$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,425$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.43 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 49c | 1,171$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.97 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 1,143$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.76 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…4e8abacked Under | 51c | 1,140$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…be9cbacked Over | 49c | 1,121$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.43 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…b7febacked Under | 51c | 1,063$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…f6ebbacked Under | 51c | 1,052$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 42c | 1,050$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.34 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 929.59$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.48 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 924.62$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.55 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…5847backed Under | 50c | 880$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 655.17$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.17 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Over | 51c | 642$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.58 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Over | 52c | 640.38$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.38 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 605.86$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.87 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 604$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Under | 43c | 599.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 552.82$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.55 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 49c | 529.38$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.1 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 527.08$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.4 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Under | 49c | 506.35$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.11 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 50c | 496$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Under | 52c | 477.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 475.16$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.71 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 411.97$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.03 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 49c | 408$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Over | 48c | 362.01$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 45c | 344.92$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.89 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 51c | 335.45$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.37 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 317.01$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.37 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 50c | 289.17$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.58 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…4d74backed Over | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.71 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4747…2987backed Under | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 50c | 265.08$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.71 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 52c | 251.94$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.94 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 49c | 245.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.16 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 27c | 221.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…8b7fbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e39…dfd9backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Over | 51c | 196.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…b352backed Under | 51c | 196.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 51c | 189.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.84 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Under | 48c | 184.96$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Under | 55c | 182.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 49c | 180.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 60c | 162.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.88 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 51c | 157.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.21 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 49c | 151.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 150.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 49c | 147.31$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 50c | 146.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 52c | 146$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 50c | 146$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 47c | 133.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 51c | 121.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Over | 54c | 118.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 49c | 117.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…8510backed Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 49c | 112$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets: O/U 245.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Mavericks vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 126.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5Over won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.