NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4084f58e9677dde08ea9b84939e3633f9eeefc6f6d564eaf0843a4cbfe9cf44b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Nuggets, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $589,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $589,802 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Mavericks | 53c | 313,836$165,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,900.43 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Mavericks | 54c | 92,570$49,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,582.2 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Nuggets | 46c | 57,159$26,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,293.31 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Nuggets | 47c | 54,737$25,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,825 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Nuggets | 47c | 51,218$23,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,902.66 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Mavericks | 51c | 49,776$25,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,390.23 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Nuggets | 47c | 48,644$22,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,862.68 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Nuggets | 47c | 29,129$13,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,641.83 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Nuggets | 47c | 23,285$10,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,944 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 20,411$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Nuggets | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Nuggets | 47c | 19,532$9,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,179.9 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Nuggets | 47c | 16,138$7,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,584.86 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 47c | 14,017$6,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,542.44 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,120 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…5847backed Nuggets | 47c | 11,999$5,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,675 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Nuggets | 47c | 9,894$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650.4 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Nuggets | 47c | 9,681$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Nuggets | 49c | 9,251$4,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,532.77 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets | 47c | 7,880$3,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.33 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Nuggets | 47c | 7,872$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 44c | 7,596$3,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,321.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Nuggets | 47c | 7,198$3,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.06 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 53c | 7,157$3,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,363.9 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Mavericks | 55c | 7,058$3,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,176.18 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Nuggets | 48c | 6,150$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,952 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Nuggets | 46c | 6,006$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,768.43 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nuggets | 46c | 5,738$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.26 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Nuggets | 46c | 4,978$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.7 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 52c | 4,963$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.13 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Nuggets | 47c | 4,357$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.72 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Nuggets | 46c | 3,991$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.66 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Mavericks | 54c | 3,627$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.19 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Nuggets | 47c | 3,161$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Mavericks | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Nuggets | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Mavericks | 53c | 2,451$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.96 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Nuggets | 47c | 2,296$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets | 45c | 2,276$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.23 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…c48fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 2,270$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.59 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Mavericks | 52c | 2,076$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.45 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nuggets | 48c | 2,059$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.51 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,958$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.68 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,939$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.68 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Mavericks | 56c | 1,766$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.5 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,498$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.18 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,491$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,108$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.69 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Mavericks | 56c | 1,063$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.31 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Mavericks | 53c | 989.28$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.96 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks | 61c | 982.22$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.95 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Mavericks | 50c | 920.26$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.13 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Mavericks | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nuggets | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Nuggets | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Mavericks | 52c | 574.6$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.14 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Nuggets | 47c | 561.61$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.96 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Mavericks | 58c | 531.88$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.71 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Nuggets | 48c | 522.66$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Mavericks | 52c | 488.16$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.32 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Nuggets | 48c | 456.54$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Nuggets | 24c | 418.95$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.31 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Nuggets | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 404.27$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.05 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 46c | 380$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Mavericks | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Nuggets | 54c | 371.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Mavericks | 53c | 361.09$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.71 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets | 47c | 345.08$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.25 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Mavericks | 53c | 323.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Nuggets | 47c | 314.87$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.94 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Nuggets | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…513dbacked Mavericks | 55c | 289.09$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.09 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Nuggets | 47c | 281.35$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.13 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nuggets | 41c | 278.24$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Mavericks | 73c | 263.97$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Mavericks | 57c | 263.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.27 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Nuggets | 38c | 263.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Mavericks | 52c | 255.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Mavericks | 53c | 226.24$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Mavericks | 53c | 220.12$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Nuggets | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Nuggets | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Nuggets | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 211.4$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.23 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Nuggets | 48c | 208.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 50c | 201.59$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Nuggets | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Nuggets | 46c | 199.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc793…f66fbacked Mavericks | 56c | 185$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4008…2942backed Mavericks | 53c | 180.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.41 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Mavericks | 51c | 176$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8585…eef1backed Nuggets | 43c | 168.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Mavericks | 53c | 162.89$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Nuggets | 41c | 161.81$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nuggets | 46c | 151.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Nuggets | 36c | 146.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Mavericks vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 126.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets: O/U 245.5Over won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.