TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc793…f66f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Valorant, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT4131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.17
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$284.62
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs TDK (+1.5)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+196.8%+$289.32
Counter-Strike: magic vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.01
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.29
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.08
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Tricked (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.38
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+112.5%+$108.96
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+215.6%+$144.74
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+127%+$233.14
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$177.28
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$190.46
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagebacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.66
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs ShindeN (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group Abacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.66
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.64
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$140.58
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.97
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs aimclub - Map 1 Winnerbacked aimclub · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.53
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$104.19
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs yngods (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #19 Group Dbacked yngods · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+135.6%+$100.22
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.5
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.69
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.85
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+120.3%+$116.4
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+158.4%+$115.58
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$127.99
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.51
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.52
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsbacked Yangon Galacticos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.62
Dota 2: Team Essence vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagebacked Team Essence · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Bbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+138.5%+$55.42
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.32
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$80.91
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$130.18
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$92.9
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+130.1%+$52.05
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$87.22
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: Gen.G (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)backed Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL - Map 1 Winnerbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$166.38
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$179.67
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)backed Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$118.19
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.7
Valorant: T1 Academy vs DRX Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked DRX Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+220.1%+$195.82
Valorant: BOOM Esports vs Rival Esports (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Group Abacked Rival Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+202.3%+$108.01
Valorant: TEC Esports vs World Sports Invictus Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked World Sports Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.32
Valorant: Oasis Gaming vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Group Dbacked Oasis Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Spread: Devils (-1.5)backed Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)backed Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+194.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$244.12
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.