CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Tricked (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa322f1c6fb4a045c51cae4bae8eb2c9148498c2de819daf24e5c8043ba1203a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trickedof Sinners, Tricked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Sinners | 49c | 13,587$6,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,602.68 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tricked | 28c | 7,596$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,491.27 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Sinners | 60c | 1,957$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.08 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tricked | 42c | 1,937$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.49 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Tricked | 64c | 1,188$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.21 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Sinners | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Sinners | 41c | 971.69$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.16 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Tricked | 45c | 670$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Sinners | 46c | 599.99$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sinners | 64c | 551.43$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.24 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc793…f66fbacked Sinners | 35c | 549.86$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.38 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Sinners | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tricked | 50c | 449.94$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.03 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Tricked | 62c | 402.39$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.33 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Tricked | 32c | 398.4$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.81 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Sinners | 52c | 374.89$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.22 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Sinners | 70c | 359.81$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.11 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tricked | 71c | 344.83$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb4…7c31backed Tricked | 70c | 327.89$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Sinners | 68c | 324.54$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.69 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Sinners | 38c | 254.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…d64ebacked Sinners | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tricked | 48c | 246.93$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.72 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…b6b3backed Tricked | 41c | 232.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.42 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Sinners | 63c | 226.74$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.19 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Sinners | 50c | 219.62$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…f70cbacked Tricked | 57c | 210.27$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Tricked | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…d5c3backed Tricked | 30c | 197.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.47 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…a9e1backed Tricked | 59c | 187.36$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Tricked | 49c | 179.45$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed Sinners | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Tricked | 35c | 137.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6b…66b6backed Tricked | 45c | 104.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Sinners | 32c | 95.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Tricked | 45c | 85.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a6…f22bbacked Sinners | 35c | 84.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…c27dbacked Tricked | 63c | 72.49$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20a…35a7backed Sinners | 37c | 71.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Sinners | 59c | 64.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Sinners | 38c | 63.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…28fabacked Tricked | 42c | 60.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Tricked | 43c | 60.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Tricked | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Sinners | 30c | 58.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sinners | 36c | 56.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Tricked | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Tricked | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Tricked | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Tricked | 37c | 47.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Tricked | 43c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa705…8495backed Sinners | 58c | 45.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Tricked | 59c | 40.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…fe90backed Tricked | 48c | 40.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Sinners | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…5bbfbacked Sinners | 33c | 35.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Tricked | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Tricked | 44c | 26.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef7…4cfbbacked Tricked | 59c | 23.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Tricked (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Tricked - Map 1 WinnerTricked won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Tricked - Map 2 WinnerTricked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.