TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd20a…35a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Valorant, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 51 out of 100; worst La Liga at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$5.85
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Madrid Open: Laura Samson vs Anna Bondarbacked Laura Samson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.76
Madrid Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.16
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machacbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$62.82
Madrid Open: Caty McNally vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.19
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Koprivabacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.61
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.53
Madrid Open: Emilio Nava vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.78
Madrid Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Martin Dammbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockxbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Madrid Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Tereza Valentovabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$43.97
Madrid Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Solana Sierrabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.97
Madrid Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.28
Madrid Open: Daria Snigur vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$192.49
Madrid Open: Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.21
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Jack Kennedybacked Jack Kennedy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.59
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$7.55
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+136.8%+$20.62
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.53
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+141.8%+$58.7
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.12
Athletics vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$8.55
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$5.02
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.31
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.31
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$47.43
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-58.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.13
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.31
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.95
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$32.69
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.91
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.27
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$67.84
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.92
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.12
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.22
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.61
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.68
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.02
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.52
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.7
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.05
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-51.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-49.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$11.95
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.14
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.44
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.96
All 4 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.04
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.4
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.89
T20 Series South Africa vs. India, Women: South Africa vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.