TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South America Rejectsof South America Rejects, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,437,933
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,607,680

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,437,933 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 821 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed South America Rejects48c143,729$68,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,949.991,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a5c…a375backed South America Rejects49c82,394$40,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,101.583438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked MOUZ53c70,650$37,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,708.2828748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed South America Rejects46c50,666$23,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,223.0633746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ54c48,534$26,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,050.3940051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked South America Rejects48c45,000$21,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,399.984940.8%20 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed MOUZ52c38,191$19,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,671.494148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked MOUZ55c32,143$17,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,517.9328159.8%168 W · 113 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55af…0715backed MOUZ52c31,197$16,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,222.613164.5%20 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3719…2df0backed South America Rejects48c26,347$12,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,605.689055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc91e…07ddbacked MOUZ51c21,000$10,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,70010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4a…8060backed MOUZ56c20,425$11,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,490.313514.3%5 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-56.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ53c15,276$8,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,027.6389440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed South America Rejects50c12,324$6,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,155.2415951.6%82 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed South America Rejects46c12,041$5,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,526.0196357.3%552 W · 411 L+48.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed MOUZ53c12,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,30015544.5%69 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed South America Rejects47c12,000$5,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,359.9927645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked MOUZ50c11,904$5,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,909.9389341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65b9…ff15backed South America Rejects46c11,856$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,355.351758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked MOUZ52c11,442$5,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,908.454650%23 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed South America Rejects48c11,001$5,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,770.2418356.8%104 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…f361backed MOUZ54c10,477$5,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,639.44045%18 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed MOUZ51c10,379$5,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,293.5322644.7%101 W · 125 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d11…99cabacked MOUZ54c9,712$5,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,211.574734%16 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ52c9,285$4,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,801.791,17943.1%508 W · 671 L+41.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked South America Rejects52c8,889$4,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,281.836851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed South America Rejects46c8,576$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,656.0471454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9031…554bbacked South America Rejects54c8,388$4,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,895.9510262.7%64 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked South America Rejects49c8,266$4,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,189.0332652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed MOUZ50c8,265$4,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,132.5115848.1%76 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked South America Rejects46c7,224$3,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,913.1639343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked South America Rejects69c7,088$4,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,215.45757.9%33 W · 24 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick72cpaid-22.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked South America Rejects34c7,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,639.9836547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1994…d63cbacked South America Rejects47c6,904$3,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,648.074261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed South America Rejects49c6,884$3,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,485.951,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed MOUZ56c6,688$3,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,745.4954445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked South America Rejects46c6,669$3,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,614.851,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85a4…9aabbacked MOUZ43c6,580$2,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,798.811233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-51.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed MOUZ50c6,090$3,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,055.9514854.7%81 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed South America Rejects44c5,900$2,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,319.051,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked South America Rejects42c5,497$2,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,161.541,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed MOUZ52c5,379$2,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,821.5627153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked MOUZ52c5,297$2,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,747.9734544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9273…fcf8backed MOUZ51c5,205$2,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,663.681442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a83…f94dbacked South America Rejects49c5,102$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.022100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ51c5,041$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,560.7264744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed MOUZ55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75024153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed MOUZ54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70022643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed MOUZ54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70029042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa98…90bbbacked MOUZ53c4,965$2,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.281573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc23…dbe6backed South America Rejects56c4,878$2,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.485151%26 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c75…1b0dbacked South America Rejects34c4,867$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,218.131747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed MOUZ55c4,865$2,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,675.7522848.2%110 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed MOUZ28c4,864$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.19449.1%4 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-81.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4574…273dbacked South America Rejects49c4,847$2,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,471.9712630.2%38 W · 88 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked South America Rejects47c4,744$2,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,522.8480056%448 W · 352 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed South America Rejects48c4,669$2,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,442.119657.3%55 W · 41 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked South America Rejects48c4,629$2,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,413.243049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked South America Rejects46c4,583$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.1810618.9%20 W · 86 L-14.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb2bf…0b30backed MOUZ51c4,518$2,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,304.33475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed South America Rejects58c4,417$2,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.4238855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8681…ef99backed MOUZ51c4,385$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,244.236746.3%31 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked South America Rejects57c4,370$2,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.971,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x271c…6a19backed MOUZ51c4,263$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed South America Rejects46c4,253$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,291.6147046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x611f…b58fbacked MOUZ51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0401040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed South America Rejects50c3,947$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,973.345747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ42c3,917$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.2267043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked MOUZ56c3,914$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,191.571,19759.2%709 W · 488 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed MOUZ54c3,885$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,105.6643344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked South America Rejects41c3,873$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,276.5260646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa621…6e29backed South America Rejects48c3,800$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,963366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed South America Rejects50c3,754$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.7460552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ14c3,726$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.9380443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5eb…a8eebacked MOUZ51c3,514$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaadb…9b41backed South America Rejects72c3,500$2,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.55560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb26a…fbe9backed MOUZ51c3,447$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.97450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked South America Rejects50c3,364$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.059650%48 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed MOUZ51c3,202$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.99875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed MOUZ54c3,028$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.5729348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed South America Rejects46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62052046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1711…5698backed MOUZ51c2,995$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked South America Rejects49c2,949$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.8550749.7%252 W · 255 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed South America Rejects48c2,927$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.851560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ed…5dc7backed MOUZ53c2,915$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x805e…a098backed MOUZ51c2,875$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed South America Rejects59c2,872$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.1214443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed MOUZ52c2,814$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.615930.5%18 W · 41 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed MOUZ53c2,801$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.9241351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf394…cdb1backed South America Rejects72c2,734$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.443036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked South America Rejects60c2,645$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.9539660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed South America Rejects73c2,558$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.6613068.5%89 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2432…03c9backed MOUZ51c2,556$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed MOUZ51c2,536$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.9223342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked South America Rejects45c2,456$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.9225147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b05…aed5backed MOUZ51c2,453$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f78…b642backed MOUZ1c2,450$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345825.9%15 W · 43 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb076…3b1cbacked MOUZ51c2,411$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.61450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed MOUZ11c2,402$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.6265625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed South America Rejects52c2,397$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.2333041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.