Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc55c934d4570040df226ab2c53b1f2e401a267c33045f44f8052aa38b05ab11f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South America Rejectsof South America Rejects, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $763,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $845,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $763,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked South America Rejects | 46c | 172,722$80,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,691.98 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed South America Rejects | 49c | 70,849$34,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,944.99 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed MOUZ | 53c | 57,175$30,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,031.3 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ | 49c | 44,432$21,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,615.17 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed MOUZ | 53c | 30,922$16,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,388.83 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed MOUZ | 54c | 29,763$16,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,054.62 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed South America Rejects | 46c | 28,716$13,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,441.89 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 50c | 25,490$12,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,681.09 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed MOUZ | 0c | 22,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed South America Rejects | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.98 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a9…fb5abacked MOUZ | 0c | 18,801$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ | 2c | 12,125$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.24 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 53c | 10,743$5,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,703.31 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed MOUZ | 54c | 10,478$5,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,658.21 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ | 53c | 10,245$5,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,415.04 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed MOUZ | 50c | 9,925$5,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,011.95 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed South America Rejects | 50c | 9,554$4,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,737.51 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked MOUZ | 52c | 9,435$4,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,906.41 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked MOUZ | 54c | 8,974$4,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,862.6 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed MOUZ | 41c | 8,892$3,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.02 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed MOUZ | 61c | 8,762$5,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,375.41 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed South America Rejects | 42c | 8,563$3,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,936.01 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked MOUZ | 54c | 7,436$3,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990.59 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed South America Rejects | 47c | 7,023$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,722.26 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 53c | 6,789$3,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,608.07 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked MOUZ | 52c | 6,668$3,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.03 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed MOUZ | 29c | 6,666$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.47 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked MOUZ | 53c | 6,198$3,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285.68 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed South America Rejects | 47c | 6,182$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.45 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed MOUZ | 5c | 6,165$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.88 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked MOUZ | 53c | 5,959$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.53 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 55c | 5,922$3,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,246.39 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed South America Rejects | 46c | 5,901$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.65 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed MOUZ | 54c | 5,626$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,038.17 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed South America Rejects | 48c | 5,491$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.21 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked MOUZ | 53c | 5,481$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915.79 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed South America Rejects | 45c | 5,176$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.09 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked South America Rejects | 45c | 5,108$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.54 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked MOUZ | 3c | 5,050$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ | 12c | 4,928$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.82 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed MOUZ | 52c | 4,912$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.05 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed MOUZ | 10c | 4,857$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.32 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed South America Rejects | 48c | 4,844$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.88 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed MOUZ | 53c | 4,238$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.31 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked South America Rejects | 47c | 4,021$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.19 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 53c | 3,917$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.99 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ | 39c | 3,672$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.37 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed MOUZ | 53c | 3,634$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.2 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked MOUZ | 51c | 3,576$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.58 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed MOUZ | 53c | 3,423$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.02 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77e0…e3b4backed MOUZ | 2c | 3,215$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed South America Rejects | 55c | 3,140$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.98 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked MOUZ | 54c | 3,115$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.88 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed MOUZ | 3c | 3,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed MOUZ | 2c | 2,982$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 51c | 2,949$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.49 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 53c | 2,786$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.43 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed South America Rejects | 46c | 2,774$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.7 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac3…e467backed MOUZ | 18c | 2,609$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…a7a8backed MOUZ | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 41cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed South America Rejects | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked MOUZ | 3c | 2,500$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed MOUZ | 36c | 2,487$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.07 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 51c | 2,475$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.78 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 53c | 2,460$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.56 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed South America Rejects | 61c | 2,457$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.12 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked MOUZ | 29c | 2,427$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked MOUZ | 54c | 2,260$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.32 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked MOUZ | 50c | 2,150$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked MOUZ | 53c | 2,069$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.66 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ | 55c | 2,050$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.79 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked South America Rejects | 48c | 2,029$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.77 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed South America Rejects | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…cdb1backed South America Rejects | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked South America Rejects | 46c | 1,994$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.88 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 55c | 1,970$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.96 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed South America Rejects | 46c | 1,966$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.89 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed South America Rejects | 46c | 1,935$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.01 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,935$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.68 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked MOUZ | 38c | 1,904$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.35 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed MOUZ | 53c | 1,876$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.22 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed MOUZ | 10c | 1,792$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.23 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed South America Rejects | 47c | 1,771$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.59 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed MOUZ | 52c | 1,702$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.08 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed South America Rejects | 49c | 1,632$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.32 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,543$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.73 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…2f32backed South America Rejects | 49c | 1,523$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac96…40c4backed MOUZ | 2c | 1,479$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,457$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.62 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed MOUZ | 10c | 1,257$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.27 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,245$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.95 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,199$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.31 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked MOUZ | 10c | 1,194$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.3 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed South America Rejects | 48c | 1,163$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.53 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed South America Rejects | 66c | 1,115$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.05 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed MOUZ | 53c | 1,114$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.44 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,103$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,064$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.23 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed South America Rejects | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked MOUZ | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageSouth America Rejects won
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)South America Rejects won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.