Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d580888a0eee38a2da1f0517fef6e297420c3ee1c5c7664ab0291626726e413
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof South America Rejects, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,048,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,175,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,048,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 464 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked South America Rejects | 49c | 214,244$105,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,314.13 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed South America Rejects | 50c | 72,330$35,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,881.43 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked MOUZ | 52c | 60,000$31,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,800 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ | 51c | 57,912$29,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,533.08 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed MOUZ | 50c | 52,886$26,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,309.58 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed MOUZ | 50c | 41,644$20,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,822.08 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed South America Rejects | 49c | 40,820$20,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,106.85 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed MOUZ | 51c | 34,959$17,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,179.36 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 51c | 33,734$17,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,557.29 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed South America Rejects | 47c | 27,260$12,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,815.9 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed MOUZ | 50c | 20,798$10,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,415.26 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0d…37a2backed South America Rejects | 0c | 18,801$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed MOUZ | 37c | 16,896$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,656.24 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked MOUZ | 52c | 15,672$8,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,520.23 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed MOUZ | 50c | 15,250$7,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,604.98 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed South America Rejects | 49c | 13,909$6,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,874.3 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked MOUZ | 51c | 12,301$6,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,990.82 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed South America Rejects | 49c | 12,026$5,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,931.63 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…ec1ebacked South America Rejects | 0c | 10,453$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked MOUZ | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed MOUZ | 53c | 10,000$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,750 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked South America Rejects | 47c | 9,844$4,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,675.12 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked MOUZ | 43c | 9,590$4,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,435.83 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…9aabbacked MOUZ | 69c | 9,563$6,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,922.06 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed South America Rejects | 50c | 8,839$4,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,463.46 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed South America Rejects | 48c | 8,713$4,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,176.78 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked MOUZ | 53c | 8,662$4,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,071.12 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed South America Rejects | 46c | 8,356$3,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,828.15 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed South America Rejects | 48c | 8,226$3,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,948.29 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed South America Rejects | 15c | 7,657$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.23 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed South America Rejects | 48c | 7,471$3,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,573.23 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed MOUZ | 58c | 7,261$4,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.57 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked South America Rejects | 48c | 7,109$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.78 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 54c | 7,089$3,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,247.15 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked MOUZ | 51c | 7,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.99 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ | 60c | 6,522$3,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611.3 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked MOUZ | 51c | 6,437$3,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152.97 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed MOUZ | 53c | 6,224$3,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.53 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ | 51c | 6,217$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.9 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b5…67b4backed MOUZ | 51c | 5,424$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed South America Rejects | 32c | 5,333$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.14 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked MOUZ | 46c | 5,173$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,809.58 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed MOUZ | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed South America Rejects | 50c | 4,939$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.54 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ | 54c | 4,925$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243.83 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked South America Rejects | 64c | 4,804$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.22 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ | 56c | 4,680$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.9 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked MOUZ | 52c | 4,495$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.62 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed MOUZ | 60c | 4,431$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.58 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed South America Rejects | 46c | 4,377$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.42 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed MOUZ | 76c | 4,293$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.26 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked MOUZ | 49c | 4,121$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.79 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked South America Rejects | 50c | 4,064$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.16 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed South America Rejects | 49c | 3,756$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.98 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ | 54c | 3,588$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.34 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed MOUZ | 43c | 3,588$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.16 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 54c | 3,526$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.36 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed MOUZ | 64c | 3,498$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.6 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed South America Rejects | 49c | 3,440$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.79 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 53c | 3,399$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.72 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed MOUZ | 49c | 3,282$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.61 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed South America Rejects | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked MOUZ | 41c | 3,000$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 51c | 2,954$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.42 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked MOUZ | 46c | 2,936$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.99 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked South America Rejects | 45c | 2,681$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.59 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed MOUZ | 51c | 2,669$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.88 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 53c | 2,621$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.28 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked South America Rejects | 61c | 2,527$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.56 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed MOUZ | 55c | 2,519$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.44 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed South America Rejects | 48c | 2,476$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.59 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed South America Rejects | 44c | 2,475$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.15 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked South America Rejects | 48c | 2,473$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.83 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed South America Rejects | 49c | 2,424$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.52 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ | 44c | 2,373$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.92 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed South America Rejects | 52c | 2,285$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.76 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed South America Rejects | 49c | 2,269$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.77 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed MOUZ | 56c | 2,165$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.87 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed South America Rejects | 48c | 2,063$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.02 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked MOUZ | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed MOUZ | 53c | 2,000$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.97 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked South America Rejects | 65c | 1,999$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.84 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked MOUZ | 74c | 1,998$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.95 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…4119backed MOUZ | 60c | 1,944$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.65 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked MOUZ | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.19 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked MOUZ | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed South America Rejects | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked MOUZ | 51c | 1,920$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.93 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked MOUZ | 60c | 1,752$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.79 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,750$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.49 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked South America Rejects | 1c | 1,750$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed South America Rejects | 36c | 1,730$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.23 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed South America Rejects | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed South America Rejects | 50c | 1,698$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.75 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed MOUZ | 63c | 1,557$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.55 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed South America Rejects | 49c | 1,531$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.57 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed South America Rejects | 48c | 1,516$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.49 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed South America Rejects | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked South America Rejects | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageSouth America Rejects won
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
- Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)South America Rejects won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.