TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa5c3…1f5f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,110
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT79653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 796 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$225
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.09
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.17
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$249
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.73
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.12
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$102.5
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$225
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$160
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.5
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.49
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$139
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.34
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.79
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$85
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$82.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$348
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$525
Showing 25 of 796 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT15244.7%68 W · 84 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 152 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.5
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$102.5
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$87.5
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.5
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$103.63
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.16
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.95
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.5
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$87.5
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.85
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.7
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$106.81
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$65
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.32
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.49
Dota 2: Aurora vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.99
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$158.99
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Showing 25 of 152 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT8354.2%45 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.8
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.2
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.99
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.93
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group Cbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$46.54
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.5
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$97.5
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$252
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$107.5
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$135
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$107.5
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$140
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.72
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2025, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+44.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $17m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$247.27
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $145m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$144
Will "Paddington in Peru" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$482.94
Will "Companion" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $14-17m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+25%+$60
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $35-40m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$397.9
Will "Flight Risk" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+60.5%+$126.87
Will "Flight Risk" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $10m and $13m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+733.3%+$352
Will 'Wolf Man' opening weekend gross less than $16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+284.6%+$295.99
Will 'Wolf Man' opening weekend gross between $16-20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Will 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' opening weekend gross less than $16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+37.5%+$226.63
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,008Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+39.6%+$795.94
Will 'Nosferatu' gross between $25-30m on 5-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$199.83
Will 'Mufasa: The Lion King' gross less than $52m on 3-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$966Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+36.2%+$349.26
Will 'Sonic 3' gross more than $80m on 3-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$992.24
Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross more than $70m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+25.1%+$501.25
Will 'Terrifier 3' gross less than $16m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$40
Will 'Terrifier 3' gross more than $19m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$84.99
Will 'Terrifier 3' gross between $16-19m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+407.3%+$401.44
Will 'The Wild Robot' gross more than $38m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+59%+$318.72
Will 'Transformers One' gross less than $35m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2024, EDT+36.1%+$10.6
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross more than $105m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$698Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2024, EDT+42.3%+$295.6
'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$209.83
'Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire' over $80m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$76
All 24 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$252
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+300%+$749.99
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.67
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.63
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.35
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.45
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+900%+$4,499.99
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,054.93
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,062.16
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,792Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,792.19
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$124.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $108k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,999.02
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+253.1%+$1,899.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$341
Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,801Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,801.46
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+44.8%+$333.95
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,039Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+95.3%+$989.98
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$999.61
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$999.97
Ethereum all time high by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,958Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,958.32
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+49.3%+$990
All 23 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+54.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$323.47
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.51
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.54
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$466.18
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$299.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2024, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City beat Fulham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$45
Will England win the 2024 Euros?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$152.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$79.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$944Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$944.11
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$118.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+68.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$8.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will América de Cali win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$95.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,369Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+35.1%+$480.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,063Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$651.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+25%+$125
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$562.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.