TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
XLG Gamingof EDward Gaming, XLG Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$414,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$449,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $414,844 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26f8…3452backed EDward Gaming29c65,194$18,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,8905955.9%33 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked XLG Gaming50c57,271$28,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,774.156150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c3f…75cfbacked XLG Gaming46c53,346$24,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,593.9913651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f38…af70backed EDward Gaming53c34,457$18,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,091.771163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8061…a32bbacked XLG Gaming51c28,510$14,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,046.333378.8%26 W · 7 L+6.5wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+23.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked EDward Gaming50c20,994$10,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,496.89580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed XLG Gaming46c13,054$5,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,07654751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1835…b828backed XLG Gaming49c9,976$4,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,087.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+136.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked EDward Gaming49c7,192$3,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,546.3540%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed EDward Gaming45c7,000$3,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1303321.2%7 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed XLG Gaming59c6,164$3,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,553.7560022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked EDward Gaming51c4,802$2,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,451.5619157.1%109 W · 82 L+23.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed EDward Gaming50c4,554$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.731136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked EDward Gaming33c4,437$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.8588844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked EDward Gaming53c3,944$2,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.5328747.4%136 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x697f…b756backed EDward Gaming56c3,751$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.313345.9%61 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed EDward Gaming54c3,555$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.521233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed XLG Gaming75c3,263$2,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.29616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-77.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed XLG Gaming46c3,065$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.0816041.9%67 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed EDward Gaming51c3,008$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.511172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+83.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed XLG Gaming48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed EDward Gaming56c2,960$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.5226050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked EDward Gaming50c2,927$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.1377744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b1…092ebacked EDward Gaming57c2,922$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.77560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked EDward Gaming51c2,855$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.92941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2371…d59fbacked XLG Gaming59c2,683$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.721457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked XLG Gaming47c2,618$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.32860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked EDward Gaming13c2,260$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.215217.8%27 W · 125 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked XLG Gaming54c2,091$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.1645033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed EDward Gaming45c2,005$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.711172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed EDward Gaming55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1002934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed XLG Gaming34c1,998$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.910946.8%51 W · 58 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed XLG Gaming50c1,886$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.6213642.6%58 W · 78 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed EDward Gaming51c1,886$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.864755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed EDward Gaming59c1,883$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.2341537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc507…6054backed XLG Gaming28c1,808$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked EDward Gaming51c1,780$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.8911854.2%64 W · 54 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked XLG Gaming47c1,743$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.6661035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed XLG Gaming42c1,734$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.3341734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed EDward Gaming54c1,711$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.7854342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf4…43f7backed XLG Gaming77c1,699$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed EDward Gaming56c1,663$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.431838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed EDward Gaming60c1,636$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.7811152.3%58 W · 53 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed EDward Gaming47c1,490$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.1770251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c0e…270abacked XLG Gaming37c1,479$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.842860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed XLG Gaming51c1,288$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.5719648.5%95 W · 101 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0d1…7da4backed EDward Gaming49c1,198$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe795…8caebacked XLG Gaming77c1,141$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed XLG Gaming60c1,112$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.1728541.1%117 W · 168 L-26.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8516…93a0backed EDward Gaming26c1,108$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.352653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+41.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed EDward Gaming51c1,081$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.5132047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked XLG Gaming36c1,060$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.465666.1%37 W · 19 L+11.1wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+97.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed XLG Gaming48c1,050$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5469443.6%41 W · 53 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed XLG Gaming47c1,033$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.5323447%110 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed XLG Gaming47c1,030$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.95655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed EDward Gaming59c1,030$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.991050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa4…865cbacked EDward Gaming53c1,017$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.44654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed EDward Gaming53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53024946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed XLG Gaming76c946.29$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.033641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked EDward Gaming54c918.38$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.9210346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed EDward Gaming53c913.76$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.9634857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked EDward Gaming54c844.93$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.262934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked EDward Gaming54c772.3$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.0411458.8%67 W · 47 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c6d…8371backed EDward Gaming75c759.57$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked EDward Gaming48c742.42$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.9235142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f9…db30backed EDward Gaming69c729.85$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.63745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked EDward Gaming54c697.21$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.491346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed XLG Gaming28c694.74$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.610225.5%26 W · 76 L-10.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked EDward Gaming55c691.68$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.258950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72cc…a957backed EDward Gaming52c691.07$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.361050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed EDward Gaming37c690.05$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.856725.4%17 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed EDward Gaming53c646.85$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3435125.5%13 W · 38 L-8.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-37.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x616f…e14cbacked EDward Gaming54c627.04$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.63467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked EDward Gaming55c611.1$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.791,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked EDward Gaming51c607.29$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.648746%40 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked XLG Gaming50c598.92$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed EDward Gaming47c588.93$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.1426634.6%92 W · 174 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd421…7155backed XLG Gaming50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd4…5faabacked EDward Gaming51c570.94$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked EDward Gaming55c550.92$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.1910743%46 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfacf…44adbacked EDward Gaming48c549.08$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.862360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed XLG Gaming49c542.86$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.861070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked XLG Gaming60c531.66$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.5430835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f42…845dbacked XLG Gaming48c523.3$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bef…3787backed EDward Gaming79c521.65$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.04425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed EDward Gaming54c518.27$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.879644.8%43 W · 53 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed EDward Gaming53c517.08$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.9430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1534…5b56backed EDward Gaming33c515.13$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.051747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed XLG Gaming47c515$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.956637.9%25 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02c7…0927backed EDward Gaming55c508.58$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.756450%32 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8311…60acbacked EDward Gaming53c489.68$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked XLG Gaming52c489.45$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.231060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+63.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4584…5473backed XLG Gaming39c476.37$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.892941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked XLG Gaming44c469.23$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.522548%12 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed EDward Gaming52c462.29$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.3915942.1%67 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1173…1d74backed EDward Gaming50c439.95$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.983450%17 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed XLG Gaming48c425$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2213345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked EDward Gaming54c423.97$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.943537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed EDward Gaming52c406.9$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.4519945.2%90 W · 109 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed XLG Gaming33c400$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26814661.6%90 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.