Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e0d63f6877dccad5efdb3ae202088394e4b738979d67cd3aaed154df3a144f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- XLG Gamingof EDward Gaming, XLG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed XLG Gaming | 40c | 1,313$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.58 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed EDward Gaming | 28c | 1,269$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.07 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked EDward Gaming | 42c | 851.91$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.13 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed EDward Gaming | 61c | 833.68$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.85 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed XLG Gaming | 62c | 742.57$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.56 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…a32bbacked EDward Gaming | 31c | 718.13$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.08 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked XLG Gaming | 67c | 525.86$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.4 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked EDward Gaming | 30c | 519.02$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.37 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed XLG Gaming | 40c | 499.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea6…1dc0backed XLG Gaming | 68c | 432.04$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed EDward Gaming | 56c | 402.53$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.67 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed EDward Gaming | 34c | 392.78$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…0539backed XLG Gaming | 56c | 371.41$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked EDward Gaming | 34c | 368.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.66 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked XLG Gaming | 77c | 368$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.22 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed EDward Gaming | 57c | 349.14$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.01 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed EDward Gaming | 35c | 347.3$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.34 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked XLG Gaming | 49c | 346.02$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.84 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed XLG Gaming | 42c | 341.55$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.73 | 187 | 35.3%66 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed XLG Gaming | 43c | 337.39$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.52 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…4a83backed XLG Gaming | 43c | 337.2$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.2 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked XLG Gaming | 42c | 335.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.04 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed EDward Gaming | 59c | 328.78$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed EDward Gaming | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked EDward Gaming | 56c | 322.9$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.82 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked XLG Gaming | 39c | 317.88$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.91 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed EDward Gaming | 60c | 298.81$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.29 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked EDward Gaming | 59c | 249.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked EDward Gaming | 44c | 227.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed XLG Gaming | 72c | 223.68$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed XLG Gaming | 58c | 220.46$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.27 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed XLG Gaming | 45c | 215.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked EDward Gaming | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed EDward Gaming | 49c | 199.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked XLG Gaming | 41c | 183.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.13 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a47…5e77backed XLG Gaming | 41c | 164.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed XLG Gaming | 53c | 159.59$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.72 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed XLG Gaming | 37c | 147.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.02 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed EDward Gaming | 27c | 139.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed XLG Gaming | 71c | 127.19$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked XLG Gaming | 52c | 125.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed XLG Gaming | 44c | 123.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed EDward Gaming | 60c | 114.34$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked EDward Gaming | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…098abacked XLG Gaming | 62c | 108.58$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x039e…a342backed XLG Gaming | 68c | 91.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked EDward Gaming | 73c | 81.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed EDward Gaming | 59c | 78.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed EDward Gaming | 46c | 73.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked EDward Gaming | 23c | 62.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 93 | 14%13 W · 80 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked EDward Gaming | 23c | 60.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb794…0aa5backed EDward Gaming | 45c | 59.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…d5dfbacked EDward Gaming | 44c | 50.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed EDward Gaming | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed XLG Gaming | 62c | 45.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…6f55backed EDward Gaming | 43c | 44.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed XLG Gaming | 41c | 42.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed XLG Gaming | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed XLG Gaming | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed EDward Gaming | 29c | 34.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…a8f4backed XLG Gaming | 72c | 29.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…1e7abacked EDward Gaming | 70c | 27.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb10…a3a2backed XLG Gaming | 76c | 26.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…24d1backed XLG Gaming | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed XLG Gaming | 78c | 23.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked EDward Gaming | 62c | 19.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)XLG Gaming won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group OmegaXLG Gaming won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.