TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a42…24d1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Valorant, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.29
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$6.42
Valorant: Fnatic vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Abacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.81
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$19.2
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.7
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.03
Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.91
Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$10.52
Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.29
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+41%+$37.74
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+45%+$16.96
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.23
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$27.43
Valorant: Team Secret vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$14.25
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.36
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$31.42
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$6.86
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.21
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$31.74
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$23.74
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffsbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.61
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Galorys - Map 2 Winnerbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$21.78
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$7.23
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$15.49
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NIP (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.95
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MIBR (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$11.27
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$12.07
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
All 17 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$54.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.