Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc18f24aa07f142c03a27ebd3720cb63c941ac74a03cf80d02c30f6d9eb324660
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Paper Rex, DRX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f8d…24dfbacked Paper Rex | 62c | 600.51$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.88 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Paper Rex | 58c | 549.11$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.25 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed DRX | 43c | 449.56$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.09 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed DRX | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed DRX | 61c | 210$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a1…65c7backed DRX | 34c | 160.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed DRX | 40c | 146.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed DRX | 35c | 146.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Paper Rex | 60c | 133$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Paper Rex | 75c | 132.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Paper Rex | 53c | 127.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed DRX | 37c | 113.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed DRX | 39c | 111.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfe…2ac7backed Paper Rex | 73c | 109.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed DRX | 44c | 102.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked DRX | 31c | 100.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed DRX | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…b4a2backed DRX | 48c | 89.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…58c4backed DRX | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Paper Rex | 48c | 62.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Paper Rex | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DRX | 25c | 51.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…24d1backed Paper Rex | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed DRX | 25c | 45.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9816…8ff4backed DRX | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed DRX | 65c | 35.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed DRX | 64c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed DRX | 42c | 34.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d822backed DRX | 45c | 33.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed DRX | 49c | 20.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed DRX | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)DRX won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific PlayoffsPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX - Map 2 WinnerDRX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.