Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dadff5f933dc7db380acb4c6e383987041b7e19c2b2a7f997714c3aadb31816
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DRXof Paper Rex, DRX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Paper Rex | 70c | 8,489$5,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,962.54 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed DRX | 30c | 7,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,879.97 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…24dfbacked DRX | 70c | 2,762$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.99 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Paper Rex | 68c | 1,750$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.99 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked Paper Rex | 1c | 1,264$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed DRX | 37c | 807.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.79 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Paper Rex | 44c | 752.42$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.62 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…9aeebacked DRX | 28c | 715.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Paper Rex | 65c | 680.38$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.86 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Paper Rex | 70c | 558.57$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Paper Rex | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Paper Rex | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed DRX | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Paper Rex | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked DRX | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…102abacked Paper Rex | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x577a…6ef5backed Paper Rex | 18c | 286.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Paper Rex | 20c | 269.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Paper Rex | 67c | 249.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Paper Rex | 70c | 183.03$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed Paper Rex | 42c | 160.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 187 | 35.3%66 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed Paper Rex | 70c | 143.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Paper Rex | 24c | 138.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x80ce…0f13backed Paper Rex | 11c | 134.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Paper Rex | 52c | 123.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcead…afeabacked DRX | 66c | 120.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Paper Rex | 34c | 104.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked DRX | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed DRX | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…2885backed Paper Rex | 63c | 76.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Paper Rex | 72c | 69.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked DRX | 36c | 67.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Paper Rex | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked DRX | 27c | 57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed DRX | 33c | 55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…ffcabacked DRX | 62c | 51.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed DRX | 36c | 47.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed DRX | 34c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed DRX | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Paper Rex | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Paper Rex | 68c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21e0…369dbacked Paper Rex | 44c | 34.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…b28cbacked DRX | 38c | 30.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked DRX | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked DRX | 61c | 27.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Paper Rex | 66c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked Paper Rex | 76c | 21.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aad…a22bbacked Paper Rex | 69c | 18.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)DRX won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific PlayoffsPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.