TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paper Rexof Paper Rex, DRX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,828
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,158

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,828 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3833…33d1backed Paper Rex72c25,660$18,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,242.1510455.8%58 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed DRX28c10,697$2,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,995.19644.8%43 W · 53 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked DRX28c4,130$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.368243.9%36 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed DRX28c1,890$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.1515843%68 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xafc5…2b1dbacked DRX29c1,552$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.911435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22f9…f814backed DRX29c1,545$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.03633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Paper Rex66c1,523$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.5634857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Paper Rex70c1,517$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.2111255.4%62 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed DRX38c1,450$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55132047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda22…2ee3backed Paper Rex70c1,427$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.02633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed DRX30c1,420$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.467445.9%34 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Paper Rex74c1,414$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.7941537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Paper Rex68c1,413$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.2628955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked DRX32c1,392$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4497436.5%27 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed DRX30c1,370$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4116737.3%25 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked DRX8c1,276$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.121,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed DRX27c1,116$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.2517640.3%71 W · 105 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe081…fc19backed DRX27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed DRX2c1,097$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3160022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbba…c191backed DRX28c1,088$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.511250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Paper Rex70c1,011$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.4645250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked DRX29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2902433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8716…57c8backed DRX29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed DRX30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Paper Rex74c990.82$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.3715147%71 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ae…b741backed DRX31c935.95$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.87425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked DRX29c927$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.2533153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed DRX29c923.05$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.682326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Paper Rex79c836.37$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.53262.5%20 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed Paper Rex62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.453650%18 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed DRX27c800$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2168640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked DRX13c768.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8910238.2%39 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb654…7be3backed DRX29c735$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.04837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked DRX34c732.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c8…a9ffbacked DRX28c584.68$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.711833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked DRX36c574.97$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.7412750.4%64 W · 63 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb46…3692backed Paper Rex65c523$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.05955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec10…ff8cbacked Paper Rex70c520.27$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.081050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2359…2bd0backed DRX29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd4…160cbacked DRX30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x178b…8aa7backed DRX29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4378…234abacked DRX29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked DRX34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1706338.1%24 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4934…1cadbacked DRX29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b03…5778backed DRX29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a73…9541backed DRX29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd5…f982backed DRX29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Paper Rex68c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16024457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7065…f73cbacked DRX27c499.97$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.992839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…13c0backed DRX32c494.82$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.095248.1%25 W · 27 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-23.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed DRX28c492.43$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13711843.2%51 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Paper Rex70c485.13$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.861,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Paper Rex64c479.08$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.0535142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed DRX33c477.13$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0153442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed DRX28c470.57$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7654342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Paper Rex72c463.51$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.7862156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed DRX26c455.25$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12034253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d4…d869backed DRX34c440.67$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+71.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed DRX32c432.54$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.4133942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed DRX25c416.76$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.311,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2655…eaa4backed DRX13c415.36$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.327930.4%24 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b02…7939backed DRX28c400.51$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1460%0 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed DRX27c365.08$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4134739.8%138 W · 209 L-13.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Paper Rex66c347$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.642540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked DRX20c333.04$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7277744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Paper Rex61c320$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.814645.2%66 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x537b…a555backed Paper Rex71c317.99$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed DRX32c312.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.159037.8%34 W · 56 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked DRX30c305.32$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5824846%114 W · 134 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed DRX28c303$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.841540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed DRX16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.763834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9809…026dbacked Paper Rex66c279.94$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.184669.6%32 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed DRX15c275.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3554751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6f…3be7backed DRX28c275$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked DRX29c260$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.225444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4fa…4a86backed DRX11c255$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.051250%6 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+127.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked DRX28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010844.4%48 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked DRX28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7031153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed DRX40c247.45$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.289640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DRX26c240.12$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.781,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked DRX27c223.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.332334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked DRX23c211.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5296245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Paper Rex71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2734954.7%191 W · 158 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked DRX22c203.81$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8421136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Paper Rex72c201.69$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4733753.1%179 W · 158 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Paper Rex73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked DRX32c200$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638442.9%36 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed DRX40c196.8$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.726346%29 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed DRX28c196.43$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553050%15 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Paper Rex60c177.45$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9816950.9%86 W · 83 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1966…25c0backed Paper Rex72c175.6$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0112540.8%51 W · 74 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb70f…eae5backed DRX30c160.25$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.521136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Paper Rex60c158.33$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3328747.4%136 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe454…8b7dbacked Paper Rex65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.858058.8%47 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29ad…93dfbacked DRX31c148.26$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-78.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb307…2f8abacked DRX13c146.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc64…fc2bbacked Paper Rex73c143.01$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6118653.8%100 W · 86 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed Paper Rex60c141$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.41957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked Paper Rex67c126.89$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8712155.4%67 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed DRX30c125$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.327145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.