TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1966…25c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
336
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Stocks, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT12540.8%51 W · 74 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 125 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Azure Dragon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Valorant: Division One vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Division One · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$649.5
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs REBORN (BO5) - VCL EMEA: Playoffsbacked REBORN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$245
Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1backed Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$51.8
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs All Gamers (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2backed FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1backed VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Valorant: University War vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Seasonbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.29
Valorant: REBORN vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Bbacked REBORN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+205.9%+$201.55
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.59
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Enterprise Esports (BO5) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffsbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$66.74
Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.95
Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS (BO5) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffsbacked CGN Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$49.01
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+123.1%+$93.54
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.86
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO5) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$620.95
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$495
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+183.9%+$343.1
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$265
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Division One (BO5) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Division One · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.29
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.99
Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.5
Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffsbacked Team Liquid Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Showing 25 of 125 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT3435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+56.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$130
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.03
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$25.16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$512
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+2,339%+$959
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,695Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$1,579.24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.7
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$22.23
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.7
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+900%+$153
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.6
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.2
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$511.25
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$640
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Chesslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2313%3 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anish Giri Win the Sinquefield Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Fabiano Caruana Win the Sinquefield Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$268
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Will Zhu Jiner win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.27
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+222.7%+$2,502.14
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.79
Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.03
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+27%+$10.65
Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$254.11
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$117.21
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$687Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$687.49
Will Denis Lazavik win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$186.65
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12.82
Will Vladislav Artemiev win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$26.62
Will Baadur Jobava win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20.1
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14.6
Will Alexander Grischuk win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17.43
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+1,566.7%+$301.16
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Parham Maghsoodloo win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.82
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.72
Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,121.21
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.47
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Ratesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$5.89
Will three people dissent the March Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.01
Will one person dissent the March Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.74
Will two people dissent the March Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$422.9
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$363.99
Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$21.1
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$48.35
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+226.3%+$589.5
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18.88
Will three people dissent the January Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$57.77
Will the January 2026 FOMC decision result in no change with ≥2 dissents?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$208
Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+59.5%+$42.9
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+400%+$46.2
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+92.3%+$23.08
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$150
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.74
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.29
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$928Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$472
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$46.64
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.56
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$105.8
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+282.3%+$616.37
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.17
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$251.59
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$25.34
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$514.39
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$368.21
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$968Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$967.67
All 19 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,519Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+116%+$1,761.18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$134
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$209
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$408
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+659.2%+$1,366.39
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,149
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$56.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$83.11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$73.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$83.85
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Houston Cougars (-3.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.5
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.05
Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-11.5)backed New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$51.99
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobosbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.27
Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-4.5)backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.54
Spread: California Golden Bears (-5.5)backed California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.58
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.95
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Wichita State Shockers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+118.8%+$37.77
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.72
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-13.5)backed Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.31
Seattle Redhawks vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.28
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.3
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.28
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Spread: Jazz (-5.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.5
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.99
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Lakers vs. Pacersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$31.5
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$12.4
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.75
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
All 16 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.54
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.54
Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+137.7%+$173.8
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+183%+$387.99
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$144.92
Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$78.81
Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$32.39
Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$27.54
Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$64.6
BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+91.2%+$536.18
Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+104.5%+$112.4
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$53
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-80.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+67.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+205.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)backed SC Internacional · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$30.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+128.2%+$70.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.